MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over NABL overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

NABL

N-able, Inc.

60
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

NABL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NABL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Stable

NABL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

NABL PE Valuation

NABL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over NABL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NABL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NABL, but weaker profitability.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NABL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NABL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+71%$8.21
Downside-41%$2.82

Calculated from the latest close: $4.80 on Nov 12.

NABL trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over NABL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NABL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.21Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.08Q2 2025: $0.01Q3 2025: $-0.04Q4 2025: $-0.09Q1 2026: $-0.05Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.05Forward: $0.43
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.21Q4 2024: $0.16Q1 2025: $0.08Q2 2025: $0.01Q3 2025: $-0.04Q4 2025: $-0.09Q1 2026: $-0.05Q2 2026: $-0.02Q3 2026: $-0.05Forward: $0.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.43—
Q3 2026-$0.05-$0.01
Q2 2026-$0.02-300%
Q1 2026-$0.05-163%
Q4 2025-$0.09-156%
Q3 2025-$0.04-119%
Q2 2025$0.01-94%
Q1 2025$0.08-47%
Q4 2024$0.16+23%

NABL lost $0.05 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over NABL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

NABL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $114MQ2 2024: $119MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $118MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $132MQ4 2025: $129MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $137M
Q4 2023: $108MQ1 2024: $114MQ2 2024: $119MQ3 2024: $116MQ4 2024: $117MQ1 2025: $118MQ2 2025: $131MQ3 2025: $132MQ4 2025: $129MQ1 2026: $134MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $137M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$137.5M+4.4%
Q2 2026$138.2M+5.3%
Q1 2026$133.7M+13%
Q4 2025$129.2M+11%
Q3 2025$131.7M+13%
Q2 2025$131.2M+9.9%
Q1 2025$118.2M+3.9%
Q4 2024$116.5M+7.5%

NABL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $137M last quarter, up 4.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

NABL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $746,000Q2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $22M
Q4 2023: $28MQ1 2024: $746,000Q2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $16MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $22M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$22.2M+28%
Q2 2026$16.7M-18%
Q1 2026$15.8M-3.7%
Q4 2025$20.9M+11%
Q3 2025$17.4M-4.5%
Q2 2025$20.4M-15%
Q1 2025$16.4M+2097%
Q4 2024$18.8M-33%

NABL has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

NABL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 186MQ1 2024: 187MQ2 2024: 187MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 189MQ3 2025: 188MQ4 2025: 187MQ1 2026: 188MQ2 2026: 189MQ3 2026: 186M
Q4 2023: 186MQ1 2024: 187MQ2 2024: 187MQ3 2024: 188MQ4 2024: 188MQ1 2025: 188MQ2 2025: 189MQ3 2025: 188MQ4 2025: 187MQ1 2026: 188MQ2 2026: 189MQ3 2026: 186M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-3M shares
1 year-1.2%-2.3M shares
3 years-0.1%-134K shares
5 years+5.9%+10.3M shares
Available history-41%-129M shares

NABL has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over NABL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NABL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 2.0xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 2.7xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.8xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xModerate
Q2 20262.8xModerate
Q1 20263.0xElevated
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20252.9xModerate
Q2 20252.7xModerate
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

NABL's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

NABL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.9Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

NABL's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NABL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNABLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

NABL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over NABL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NABL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.663% above
20 week MA$4.3610% above
50 week MA$4.891.8% below
100 week MA$6.5026% below
200 week MA$9.7051% below

NABL has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 51% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over NABL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NABL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$12.7$11.7-7.7%
2022$11.7$10.1-14%
2023$10.1$13.3+31%
2024$13.3$9.39-29%
2025$9.39$7.40-21%
2026 YTD$7.40$4.80-35%

NABL has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's down 35% so far in 2026.

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