MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over MYPS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MYPS

PLAYSTUDIOS, Inc.

41
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

MYPS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MYPS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
Stable
Strong

MYPS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

MYPS PE Valuation

MYPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

MYPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MYPS's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MYPS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MYPS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.16
Downside-41%$2.82

Calculated from the latest close: $4.81 on Nov 12.

MYPS trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over MYPS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MYPS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.50Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $-1.40Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-2.20Q1 2025: $-2.40Q2 2025: $-2.40Q3 2025: $-2.90Q4 2025: $-2.30Q1 2026: $-2.90Q2 2026: $-3.70Q3 2026: $-3.92
Q4 2023: $-1.50Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $-1.40Q3 2024: $-1.90Q4 2024: $-2.20Q1 2025: $-2.40Q2 2025: $-2.40Q3 2025: $-2.90Q4 2025: $-2.30Q1 2026: $-2.90Q2 2026: $-3.70Q3 2026: $-3.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.92-$1.02
Q2 2026-$3.70-$1.30
Q1 2026-$2.90-$0.50
Q4 2025-$2.30-$0.10
Q3 2025-$2.90-$1.00
Q2 2025-$2.40-$1.00
Q1 2025-$2.40-$1.10
Q4 2024-$2.20-$0.70

MYPS lost $3.92 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over MYPS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MYPS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $78MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $49M
Q4 2023: $77MQ1 2024: $78MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $71MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $59MQ3 2025: $58MQ4 2025: $55MQ1 2026: $58MQ2 2026: $55MQ3 2026: $49M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$48.9M-15%
Q2 2026$55M-7.3%
Q1 2026$58.4M-6.9%
Q4 2025$55.4M-18%
Q3 2025$57.6M-19%
Q2 2025$59.3M-18%
Q1 2025$62.7M-19%
Q4 2024$67.8M-12%

MYPS's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $49M last quarter, down 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

MYPS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $13MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.6M+42%
Q2 2026$5.4M-59%
Q1 2026$3.7M+15%
Q4 2025$3.6M-69%
Q3 2025$5.4M-62%
Q2 2025$13.2M+3.4%
Q1 2025$3.2M-10%
Q4 2024$11.5M-19%

MYPS has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MYPS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 14MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-5.6%-718K shares
1 year-4.2%-526K shares
3 years-20%-2.9M shares
5 years-13%-1.8M shares
Available history-53%-13.5M shares

MYPS has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MYPS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.8xQ1 2024: -3.6xQ2 2024: -3.1xQ3 2024: -3.2xQ4 2024: -8.6xQ1 2025: -11.0xQ2 2025: -14.2xQ3 2025: -36.8xQ4 2025: -7.3xQ1 2026: -25.2x
Q4 2023: -3.8xQ1 2024: -3.6xQ2 2024: -3.1xQ3 2024: -3.2xQ4 2024: -8.6xQ1 2025: -11.0xQ2 2025: -14.2xQ3 2025: -36.8xQ4 2025: -7.3xQ1 2026: -25.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-25.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-36.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-11.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-8.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-3.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.1xNet Cash

MYPS has more cash than debt.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

MYPS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.0Neutral
Stochastic29.3Neutral

MYPS's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MYPS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMYPSSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

MYPS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over MYPS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MYPS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.458.1% above
20 week MA$5.3610% below
50 week MA$5.3911% below
100 week MA$9.1647% below
200 week MA$19.175% below

MYPS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 75% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over MYPS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MYPS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.5$100.50%
2021$100.5$41.8-58%
2022$41.8$37.7-9.8%
2023$37.7$27.1-28%
2024$27.1$19.1-30%
2025$19.1$6.76-65%
2026 YTD$6.76$4.81-29%

MYPS has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 29% so far in 2026.

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