MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over MXL overall, supported by stronger valuation.

MXL

MaxLinear, Inc.

71
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potentialUnknown
Risk potentialUnknown

MXL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MXL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

MXL's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

MXL PE Valuation

MXL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

MXL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

MXL has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSFT and MXL's risk to reward.

MXL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $58.96 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSFT and MXL's risk to reward.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over MXL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MXL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.91Q1 2024: $-1.91Q2 2024: $-2.33Q3 2024: $-2.74Q4 2024: $-2.93Q1 2025: $-2.63Q2 2025: $-2.47Q3 2025: $-2.09Q4 2025: $-1.58Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-1.19Q3 2026: $-0.37Forward: $4.06
Q4 2023: $-0.91Q1 2024: $-1.91Q2 2024: $-2.33Q3 2024: $-2.74Q4 2024: $-2.93Q1 2025: $-2.63Q2 2025: $-2.47Q3 2025: $-2.09Q4 2025: $-1.58Q1 2026: $-1.52Q2 2026: $-1.19Q3 2026: $-0.37Forward: $4.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.06—
Q3 2026-$0.37+$1.72
Q2 2026-$1.19+$1.28
Q1 2026-$1.52+$1.11
Q4 2025-$1.58+$1.35
Q3 2025-$2.09+$0.65
Q2 2025-$2.47-$0.14
Q1 2025-$2.63-$0.72
Q4 2024-$2.93-$2.02

MXL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.37 per share over the past year, against $2.93 at its worst in late 2024.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

MXL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $218M
Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $92MQ3 2024: $81MQ4 2024: $92MQ1 2025: $96MQ2 2025: $109MQ3 2025: $126MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $169MQ3 2026: $218M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$218.1M+72%
Q2 2026$168.8M+55%
Q1 2026$137.2M+43%
Q4 2025$136.4M+48%
Q3 2025$126.5M+56%
Q2 2025$108.8M+18%
Q1 2025$95.9M+0.7%
Q4 2024$92.2M-26%

MXL's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $218M last quarter, up 72% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over MXL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MXL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$18MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$20M
Q4 2023: −$18MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: −$20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$19.5M-544%
Q2 2026$2.5M-73%
Q1 2026-$10.3M+$3.1M
Q4 2025$6.7M+$36.7M
Q3 2025$4.4M+$39.3M
Q2 2025$9.3M+$15M
Q1 2025-$13.4M-276%
Q4 2024-$30M-$12.2M

MXL's free cash flow was −$21M over the past year, against −$30M the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over MXL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MXL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 97MQ3 2026: 98M
Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 82MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 84MQ4 2024: 84MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 97MQ3 2026: 98M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+381K shares
1 year+12%+10.5M shares
3 years+20%+16.5M shares
5 years+22%+17.9M shares
Available history+38%+26.7M shares

MXL has 98M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over MXL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MXL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.0xQ3 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: -2.0xQ3 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q4 2023-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2023-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2023-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2022-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2022-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20220.2xVery low

MXL's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

MXL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.8Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

MXL's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MXL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMXLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

MXL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over MXL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MXL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$75.822% below
20 week MA$75.422% below
50 week MA$55.07.2% above
100 week MA$35.069% above
200 week MA$28.7106% above

MXL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 106% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

MXL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.4$36.7+71%
2021$36.7$74.1+102%
2022$74.1$33.9-54%
2023$33.9$23.8-30%
2024$23.8$20.5-14%
2025$20.5$17.7-14%
2026 YTD$17.7$59.0+233%

MXL has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key