MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over MVIS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

MVIS

MicroVision, Inc.

53
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential50/ 100

MVIS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MVIS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

MVIS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

MVIS PE Valuation

MVIS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

MVIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect MVIS's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MVIS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MVIS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+101%$2.19
Downside-50%$0.55

Calculated from the latest close: $1.09 on Nov 12.

MVIS trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over MVIS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MVIS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.75Q1 2024: $-7.05Q2 2024: $-6.90Q3 2024: $-6.15Q4 2024: $-6.90Q1 2025: $-6.75Q2 2025: $-6.00Q3 2025: $-5.70Q4 2025: $-5.25Q1 2026: $-4.65Q2 2026: $-5.41Q3 2026: $-5.11
Q4 2023: $-6.75Q1 2024: $-7.05Q2 2024: $-6.90Q3 2024: $-6.15Q4 2024: $-6.90Q1 2025: $-6.75Q2 2025: $-6.00Q3 2025: $-5.70Q4 2025: $-5.25Q1 2026: $-4.65Q2 2026: $-5.41Q3 2026: $-5.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$5.11+$0.59
Q2 2026-$5.41+$0.59
Q1 2026-$4.65+$2.10
Q4 2025-$5.25+$1.65
Q3 2025-$5.70+$0.45
Q2 2025-$6.00+$0.90
Q1 2025-$6.75+$0.30
Q4 2024-$6.90-$0.15

MVIS is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $5.11 per share over the past year, against $7.05 at its worst in early 2024.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over MVIS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MVIS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $956,000Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $190,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $589,000Q2 2025: $155,000Q3 2025: $241,000Q4 2025: $223,000Q1 2026: $935,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $956,000Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $190,000Q4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $589,000Q2 2025: $155,000Q3 2025: $241,000Q4 2025: $223,000Q1 2026: $935,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.4M+896%
Q2 2026$1.5M+850%
Q1 2026$935K+59%
Q4 2025$223K-86%
Q3 2025$241K+27%
Q2 2025$155K-92%
Q1 2025$589K-38%
Q4 2024$1.7M-68%

MVIS's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $2M last quarter, up 896% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over MVIS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MVIS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$14MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: −$19MQ3 2026: −$15M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: −$21MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: −$14MQ4 2024: −$15MQ1 2025: −$14MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: −$16MQ1 2026: −$17MQ2 2026: −$19MQ3 2026: −$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15M+$1.6M
Q2 2026-$19.5M-$6.5M
Q1 2026-$16.6M-$2.4M
Q4 2025-$15.6M-$490K
Q3 2025-$16.6M-$2.5M
Q2 2025-$12.9M+$5.9M
Q1 2025-$14.2M+$6.7M
Q4 2024-$15.2M+$1.4M

MVIS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$67M over the past year, against −$59M the year before.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over MVIS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MVIS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 12MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 14MQ3 2024: 14MQ4 2024: 14MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 17MQ3 2025: 20MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 22MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+23%+5.1M shares
1 year+39%+7.7M shares
3 years+118%+14.8M shares
5 years+223%+18.9M shares

MVIS has 27M diluted shares, up 39% from a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MVIS Net Leverage

MVIS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

MVIS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.2Oversold
Stochastic3.2Oversold

MVIS's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MVIS PE vs Technology Sector

MVIS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over MVIS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MVIS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.2714% below
20 week MA$2.3954% below
50 week MA$7.1585% below
100 week MA$12.891% below
200 week MA$22.495% below

MVIS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 95% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over MVIS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MVIS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.1$98.3+785%
2021$98.3$88.7-9.8%
2022$88.7$34.1-62%
2023$34.1$39.9+17%
2024$39.9$22.7-43%
2025$22.7$13.7-40%
2026 YTD$13.7$1.09-92%

MVIS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +785% in 2020 to −62% in 2022. It's down 92% so far in 2026.

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