MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over MTLS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MTLS

Materialise N.V.

60
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

MTLS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MTLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

MTLS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over MTLS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MTLS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE251x503x754x1006x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE251x503x754x1006x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current27x$6.59—
Cheap28x$6.92+5%
Fair43x$10.75+63%
Expensive171x$42.74+549%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MTLS's PE is 27x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

MSFT has the edge over MTLS on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MTLS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect MTLS's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MTLS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MTLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$8.45
Downside-22%$5.15

Calculated from the latest close: $6.59 on Nov 12.

MTLS trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over MTLS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.13Q2 2024: $0.21Q3 2024: $0.19Q4 2024: $0.25Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.08Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.19Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.25
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.13Q2 2024: $0.21Q3 2024: $0.19Q4 2024: $0.25Q1 2025: $0.17Q2 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $0.08Q4 2025: $0.15Q1 2026: $0.19Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $0.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.25+213%
Q2 2026$0.26+136%
Q1 2026$0.19+12%
Q4 2025$0.15-40%
Q4 2025$0.08-58%
Q2 2025$0.11-48%
Q1 2025$0.17+31%
Q4 2024$0.25+92%

MTLS earned $0.25 per share over the past year, about three times what it earned the year before.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over MTLS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MTLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $71MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: $75M
Q4 2023: $73MQ1 2024: $71MQ2 2024: $76MQ3 2024: $76MQ4 2024: $73MQ1 2025: $74MQ2 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: $75M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$74.7M-0.3%
Q2 2026$79.1M+9.9%
Q1 2026$73.6M-0.2%
Q4 2025$77.9M+6.8%
Q4 2025$75M-1.7%
Q2 2025$72M-5.8%
Q1 2025$73.7M+4.3%
Q4 2024$73M+0.6%

MTLS's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $75M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

MTLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$64,432Q3 2024: −$509,904Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$64,432Q3 2024: −$509,904Q4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $6MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.3M+70%
Q2 2026$6.6M+$11.9M
Q1 2026$6M-31%
Q4 2025$1.2M+$2.9M
Q4 2025$4.9M+$5.4M
Q2 2025-$5.3M-$5.2M
Q1 2025$8.8M+10%
Q4 2024-$1.7M+$792.1K

MTLS has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MTLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 58M
Q4 2023: 59MQ1 2024: 59MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 58MQ3 2026: 58M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-268K shares
1 year-1.7%-1M shares
3 years-1.7%-1M shares
5 years-1.5%-883K shares
Available history+7.9%+4.3M shares

MTLS has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MTLS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -1.9xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -1.7xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.4xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ3 2026: -3.0x
Q4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -1.9xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -1.7xQ1 2025: -2.0xQ2 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -2.0xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -2.4xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ3 2026: -3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.7xNet Cash

MTLS has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

MTLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.9Neutral
Stochastic20.6Neutral

MTLS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MTLS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMTLSSector medianRelative
PE27x28x4% below
PE %153520 pts below

MTLS has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over MTLS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MTLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.8016% below
20 week MA$7.309.7% below
50 week MA$6.314.4% above
100 week MA$6.108% above
200 week MA$6.373.5% above

MTLS has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 3.5% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

MTLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.5$56.4+204%
2021$56.4$24.5-57%
2022$24.5$8.65-65%
2023$8.65$6.57-24%
2024$6.57$7.19+9.4%
2025$7.19$5.57-23%
2026 YTD$5.57$6.59+18%

MTLS has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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