MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over MSGM overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
MSGM
Motorsport Games Inc.
MSGM offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSGM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
MSGM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over MSGM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MSGM PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 0.7x | $0.25 | -94% |
| Fair | 3.5x | $1.17 | -73% |
| Current | 13x | $4.28 | — |
| Expensive | 33x | $11.12 | +160% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSGM's PE is in its expensive range at 13x.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
MSGM Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSGM to show an outlook.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over MSGM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSGM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.34 | +325% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.42 | +$0.48 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.16 | +$1.17 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.43 | +$2.37 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.08 | -96% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.06 | -111% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.01 | +$3.32 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.94 | +$4.14 |
MSGM's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.34 over the past year, against $1.84 in late 2024.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over MSGM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MSGM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.8M | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.5M | +37% |
| Q1 2026 | $4M | +129% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.8M | +95% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1M | +72% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6M | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8M | -42% |
| Q4 2024 | $2M | +13% |
MSGM's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $4M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | +6.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | -58 points |
| Q1 2026 | 26% | +32 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | +48 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +133 points |
| Q2 2025 | 76% | -34 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5.3% | +35 points |
| Q4 2024 | -34% | +122 points |
MSGM's operating margin was 32% last quarter, up 6.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSGM has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 157% versus its history, compared with MSFT at down 7.4%.
MSGM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $1.6M | +433% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7M | +$3.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.1M | +$674.5K |
| Q3 2024 | $671.8K | +$1.9M |
| Q4 2023 | -$2.8M | -$193.2K |
| Q3 2023 | -$1.3M | +$3.7M |
| Q2 2023 | -$3.2M | +$3.4M |
| Q1 2023 | -$5.7M | -$8.6K |
MSGM's free cash flow has turned positive after five years mostly in the red: $6M over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
MSGM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.1% | +110K shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -91K shares |
| 3 years | +97% | +2.6M shares |
| 5 years | +361% | +4.2M shares |
| Available history | +216% | +3.7M shares |
MSGM has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MSGM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 22.6x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 19.3x | High |
| Q4 2020 | 8.2x | High |
| Q3 2020 | 3.7x | Elevated |
MSGM has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
MSGM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 44.7 | Neutral |
MSGM's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSGM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSGM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 28x | 55% below |
| PE % | 78 | 40 | 38 pts above |
MSGM has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over MSGM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSGM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.74 | 9.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.51 | 5.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.10 | 4.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $3.20 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $3.35 | 28% above |
MSGM has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 28% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
MSGM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $300.0 | $40.3 | -87% |
| 2022 | $40.3 | $2.67 | -93% |
| 2023 | $2.67 | $3.09 | +16% |
| 2024 | $3.09 | $1.23 | -60% |
| 2025 | $1.23 | $3.16 | +157% |
| 2026 YTD | $3.16 | $4.28 | +35% |
MSGM has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.