MSEX

Middlesex Water Company

69
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation75/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

MSEX has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSEX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Weak

MSEX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSEX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x59x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x59x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current21x$57.28โ€”
Forward21x$57.28โ€”
Cheap23x$62.55+9.2%
Fair32x$88.02+54%
Expensive39x$108+89%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSEX's PE is in its cheap range at 20.7x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 20.8x.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSEX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MSEX, with profitability holding steady.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MSEX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$71.00
Downside-13%$49.76

Calculated from the latest close: $57.28 on Nov 12.

MSEX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR trails MSEX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSEX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.76Q1 2024: $2.02Q2 2024: $2.06Q3 2024: $2.30Q4 2024: $2.47Q1 2025: $2.41Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.36Q1 2026: $2.40Q2 2026: $2.59Q3 2026: $2.77Forward: $2.76
Q4 2023: $1.76Q1 2024: $2.02Q2 2024: $2.06Q3 2024: $2.30Q4 2024: $2.47Q1 2025: $2.41Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.36Q1 2026: $2.40Q2 2026: $2.59Q3 2026: $2.77Forward: $2.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.76-0.5%
Q3 2026$2.77+16%
Q2 2026$2.59+7%
Q1 2026$2.40-0.4%
Q4 2025$2.36-4.5%
Q3 2025$2.39+3.9%
Q2 2025$2.42+17%
Q1 2025$2.41+19%
Q4 2024$2.47+40%

MSEX has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

MSEX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $60M
Q4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $54MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $60M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$60.2M+11%
Q2 2026$56.4M+14%
Q1 2026$48.7M+10%
Q4 2025$47M-0.3%
Q3 2025$54.1M-1.8%
Q2 2025$49.3M+0.4%
Q1 2025$44.3M+9.3%
Q4 2024$47.1M+22%

MSEX's revenue is growing: $60M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSEX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: โˆ’$8MQ2 2024: โˆ’$3MQ3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $23M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: โˆ’$8MQ2 2024: โˆ’$3MQ3 2024: โˆ’$1MQ4 2024: โˆ’$4MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $16MQ3 2026: $23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$22.9M+90%
Q2 2026$16.4M-10%
Q1 2026$11.7M-15%
Q4 2025$18.5M+$22.2M
Q3 2025$12M+$13.3M
Q2 2025$18.3M+$21.4M
Q1 2025$13.8M+$21.5M
Q4 2024-$3.7M+$562K

MSEX has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 944% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

MSEX Total Shares

Q1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
Q1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 19M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+289K shares
1 year+4.8%+872K shares
3 years+7.5%+1.3M shares
5 years+8.4%+1.5M shares

MSEX has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

MSEX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.9xQ1 2024: 10.3xQ2 2024: 9.6xQ3 2024: 9.0xQ4 2024: 8.7xQ1 2025: 8.3xQ2 2025: 8.4xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 5.9xQ1 2024: 10.3xQ2 2024: 9.6xQ3 2024: 9.0xQ4 2024: 8.7xQ1 2025: 8.3xQ2 2025: 8.4xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 4.4xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.4xHigh
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.4xHigh
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20258.4xHigh
Q1 20258.3xHigh
Q4 20248.7xHigh

MSEX's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSEX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic71.4Neutral

MSEX's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

MSEX PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricMSEXSector medianRelative
PE21x20x1.3% above
PE %14443 pts below

MSEX is trading at 21x earnings, in line with the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSEX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.63% above
20 week MA$56.61.2% above
50 week MA$54.25.7% above
100 week MA$54.84.5% above
200 week MA$60.85.7% below

MSEX has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

MSEX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$63.5$71.2+12%
2021$71.2$112.4+58%
2022$112.4$86.1-23%
2023$86.1$65.6-24%
2024$65.6$52.9-19%
2025$52.9$51.5-2.7%
2026 YTD$51.5$57.3+11%

MSEX has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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