MSC
Studio City International Holdings Limited
MSC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over MSC overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
MSC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
MSC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MSC PE Valuation
MSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSC Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSC to show an outlook.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.09 | +$0.32 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.85 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.74 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.36 | +$0.16 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.41 | +$0.27 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.01 | -$0.01 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.98 | -$0.06 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.52 | +$2.06 |
MSC is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.09 per share over the past year, against $12.48 at its worst in late 2021.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the edge over MSC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $164.6M | -13% |
| Q1 2026 | $176.7M | +9.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $160.3M | +4.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $182.5M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $190.1M | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $161.7M | +7.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $152.9M | +8.2% |
| Q3 2024 | $174.6M | +27% |
MSC's revenue has held roughly level: $165M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 9.1% | -3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +6.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 13% | +4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | +10 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.4% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2% | -7.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 9.2% | +6.8 points |
MSC has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over MSC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
MSC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | -100% |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
MSC's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has the edge over MSC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | +43 shares |
| 3 years | 0% | -- |
| 5 years | +108% | +25M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -12.3M shares |
MSC has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
MSC hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MSC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.1x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 8.5x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 8.3x | High |
MSC's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.3 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MSC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.0 | Oversold |
MSC's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
MSC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
MSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.93 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $1.41 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $2.24 | 55% below |
| 100 week MA | $3.12 | 68% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.89 | 80% below |
MSC has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
MSC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.5 | $13.9 | -32% |
| 2021 | $13.9 | $5.58 | -60% |
| 2022 | $5.58 | $5.30 | -5% |
| 2023 | $5.30 | $6.48 | +22% |
| 2024 | $6.48 | $6.48 | 0% |
| 2025 | $6.48 | $2.94 | -55% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.94 | $1.00 | -66% |
MSC has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 66% so far in 2026.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has the edge over MSC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.