MSC

Studio City International Holdings Limited

49
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

MSC offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over MSC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

MSC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

MSC's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSC PE Valuation

MSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSC to show an outlook.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MSC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$1.88
Downside-47%$0.53

Calculated from the latest close: $1.00 on Nov 12.

MSC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails MSC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-3.58Q4 2023: $-1.92Q1 2024: $-2.00Q2 2024: $-1.68Q3 2024: $-1.52Q4 2024: $-1.98Q1 2025: $-2.01Q2 2025: $-1.41Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-1.24Q1 2026: $-0.85Q2 2026: $-1.09
Q3 2023: $-3.58Q4 2023: $-1.92Q1 2024: $-2.00Q2 2024: $-1.68Q3 2024: $-1.52Q4 2024: $-1.98Q1 2025: $-2.01Q2 2025: $-1.41Q3 2025: $-1.36Q4 2025: $-1.24Q1 2026: $-0.85Q2 2026: $-1.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.09+$0.32
Q1 2026-$0.85+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.24+$0.74
Q3 2025-$1.36+$0.16
Q2 2025-$1.41+$0.27
Q1 2025-$2.01-$0.01
Q4 2024-$1.98-$0.06
Q3 2024-$1.52+$2.06

MSC is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.09 per share over the past year, against $12.48 at its worst in late 2021.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO has the edge over MSC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $165M
Q3 2023: $138MQ4 2023: $141MQ1 2024: $150MQ2 2024: $161MQ3 2024: $175MQ4 2024: $153MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $190MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $177MQ2 2026: $165M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$164.6M-13%
Q1 2026$176.7M+9.3%
Q4 2025$160.3M+4.9%
Q3 2025$182.5M+4.5%
Q2 2025$190.1M+18%
Q1 2025$161.7M+7.7%
Q4 2024$152.9M+8.2%
Q3 2024$174.6M+27%

MSC's revenue has held roughly level: $165M last quarter, down 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over MSC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0-100%
Q3 2024$0$0

MSC's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO has the edge over MSC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 48MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48M
Q3 2023: 48MQ4 2023: 193MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 48MQ4 2024: 48MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%+43 shares
3 years0%--
5 years+108%+25M shares
Available history-20%-12.3M shares

MSC has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

MSC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 44.7xQ4 2023: 13.9xQ1 2024: 10.1xQ2 2024: 8.7xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 8.5xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 7.1xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.5xQ2 2026: 6.6x
Q3 2023: 44.7xQ4 2023: 13.9xQ1 2024: 10.1xQ2 2024: 8.7xQ3 2024: 8.3xQ4 2024: 8.5xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 7.3xQ3 2025: 7.1xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.5xQ2 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20266.5xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q3 20257.1xHigh
Q2 20257.3xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20248.5xHigh
Q3 20248.3xHigh

MSC's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.3 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.9Neutral
Stochastic11.0Oversold

MSC's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

MSC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MSC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.937.5% above
20 week MA$1.4129% below
50 week MA$2.2455% below
100 week MA$3.1268% below
200 week MA$4.8980% below

MSC has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

MSC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$20.5$13.9-32%
2021$13.9$5.58-60%
2022$5.58$5.30-5%
2023$5.30$6.48+22%
2024$6.48$6.480%
2025$6.48$2.94-55%
2026 YTD$2.94$1.00-66%

MSC has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 66% so far in 2026.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO has the edge over MSC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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