MSB

Mesabi Trust

34
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential15/ 100
Risk potential62/ 100

MSB's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 35x earnings, about three times its usual 11x. Its downside scenario is about five times its upside.

MSB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Unavailable

MSB's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x30x45x60x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.7x$2.31-87%
Fair11x$5.30-69%
Expensive25x$12.16-29%
Current35x$17.16—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSB's PE is in its expensive range at 35x.

MSB Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MSB to show an outlook.

MSB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$19.11
Downside-62%$6.47

Calculated from the latest close: $17.16 on Nov 12.

MSB's one-year downside scenario is about five times its upside: −62% against +11%.

MSB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.86Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.35Q4 2024: $7.00Q1 2025: $7.11Q2 2025: $7.12Q3 2025: $7.07Q4 2025: $1.31Q1 2026: $1.06Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $0.49
Q4 2023: $0.86Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $1.63Q3 2024: $1.35Q4 2024: $7.00Q1 2025: $7.11Q2 2025: $7.12Q3 2025: $7.07Q4 2025: $1.31Q1 2026: $1.06Q2 2026: $0.86Q3 2026: $0.49
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.49-93%
Q2 2026$0.86-88%
Q1 2026$1.06-85%
Q4 2025$1.31-81%
Q3 2025$7.07+424%
Q2 2025$7.12+337%
Q1 2025$7.11+390%
Q4 2024$7.00+714%

MSB's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.49 over the past year, against $7.12 in early 2025.

MSB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $79MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.5M-56%
Q2 2026$2.2M-53%
Q1 2026$3.6M-48%
Q4 2025$3.6M-95%
Q3 2025$5.6M-14%
Q2 2025$4.7M-24%
Q1 2025$6.9M+10%
Q4 2024$79M+1514%

MSB's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $2M last quarter, down 56% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $533,667Q3 2026: $249,126
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $533,667Q3 2026: $249,126
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$249.1K-94%
Q2 2026$533.7K-74%
Q1 2026$4.4M-53%
Q4 2025$3.5M-96%
Q3 2025$4.4M+15%
Q2 2025$2.1M-17%
Q1 2025$9.4M+66%
Q4 2024$78.2M+1415%

MSB still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $9M over the past year.

MSB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%--
5 years0%--
Available history0%--

MSB has 13M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MSB Net Leverage

MSB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI27.1Oversold
Stochastic8.9Oversold

MSB's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

MSB PE vs Basic Materials Sector

MetricMSBSector medianRelative
PE35x19x87% above
PE %924052 pts above

MSB is trading at 35x earnings, a 87% premium to the Basic Materials sector's median of 19x.

MSB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.15.1% below
20 week MA$21.219% below
50 week MA$27.337% below
100 week MA$27.838% below
200 week MA$24.129% below

MSB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% below its 200-week average.

MSB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$23.5$28.6+22%
2021$28.6$26.0-9.1%
2022$26.0$18.1-30%
2023$18.1$20.5+13%
2024$20.5$27.8+36%
2025$27.8$37.1+34%
2026 YTD$37.1$17.2-54%

MSB is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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