MSAI

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score MSAI yet.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 27x earnings, below its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

MSAI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable

MSAI's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MSAI PE Valuation

MSAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

MSAI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MSAI's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

MSAI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $3.39 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSAI and MSFT's risk to reward.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MSAI and MSFT's risk to reward.

MSAI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-142.40Q1 2024: $-156.80Q2 2024: $-172.40Q3 2024: $-182.80
Q4 2023: $-142.40Q1 2024: $-156.80Q2 2024: $-172.40Q3 2024: $-182.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2024-$182.80-$178.00
Q2 2024-$172.40-$171.20
Q1 2024-$156.80-9900%
Q4 2023-$142.40-$142.40
Q3 2023-$4.80-$3.30
Q2 2023-$1.20+$0.70
Q1 2023$1.60+$3.10

MSFT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 3,908% for MSAI versus MSFT up 36%.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

MSAI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $1MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $1MQ1 2026: $2MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5M-4.4%
Q2 2026$1.7M+19%
Q1 2026$1.6M+38%
Q4 2025$1.4M-0.9%
Q3 2025$1.6M-1.7%
Q2 2025$1.4M-33%
Q1 2025$1.2M-49%

MSAI's revenue is growing: $2M last quarter, down 4.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over MSAI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSAI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$79,000Q2 2024: −$844,000Q3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$3MQ3 2026: −$603,000
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: −$79,000Q2 2024: −$844,000Q3 2024: −$13MQ4 2024: −$4MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: −$3MQ3 2026: −$603,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$603K+$1.5M
Q2 2026-$2.6M-$1.3M
Q1 2026-$1.8M+$1.8M
Q4 2025-$2.6M+$1.5M
Q3 2025-$2.1M+$11M
Q2 2025-$1.3M-$454K
Q1 2025-$3.6M-$3.5M
Q3 2024-$13.2M-$13M

MSAI has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$8M over the past year, against −$11M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over MSAI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MSAI Total Shares

Q1 2024: 299,173Q2 2024: 342,042Q3 2024: 606,705Q1 2025: 818,141Q2 2025: 838,785Q3 2025: 862,380Q1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
Q1 2024: 299,173Q2 2024: 342,042Q3 2024: 606,705Q1 2025: 818,141Q2 2025: 838,785Q3 2025: 862,380Q1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 2MQ3 2026: 2M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+6.6%+136K shares
1 year+163%+1.4M shares
3 years+486%+1.8M shares

MSAI has 2M diluted shares, up 163% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over MSAI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSAI Net Leverage

MSAI's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

MSAI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.8Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

MSAI's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

MSAI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSAISector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

MSAI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSAI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.9514% below
20 week MA$4.6427% below
50 week MA$8.0658% below
100 week MA$23.886% below
200 week MA$138.198% below

MSAI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 98% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over MSAI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSAI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$394.8$393.6-0.3%
2022$393.6$406.8+3.4%
2023$406.8$134.0-67%
2024$134.0$78.8-41%
2025$78.8$17.4-78%
2026 YTD$17.4$3.39-81%

MSAI has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 81% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over MSAI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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