MSA

MSA Safety Incorporated

71
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation73/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MSA's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks cheap: trading at 22x earnings, below its usual 37x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MSA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Stable

MSA's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MSA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x301x451x601x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE150x301x451x601x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$175—
Current22x$175—
Cheap24x$183+5%
Fair36x$276+58%
Expensive127x$988+466%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSA's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.

MSA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MSA, with profitability improving.

MSA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$212.86
Downside-11%$155.57

Calculated from the latest close: $174.61 on Nov 12.

MSA's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +22% against −11%.

MSA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.45Q1 2024: $6.75Q2 2024: $6.88Q3 2024: $6.92Q4 2024: $7.21Q1 2025: $7.25Q2 2025: $7.01Q3 2025: $7.09Q4 2025: $7.08Q1 2026: $7.40Q2 2026: $8.04Q3 2026: $7.78Forward: $9.72
Q4 2023: $1.45Q1 2024: $6.75Q2 2024: $6.88Q3 2024: $6.92Q4 2024: $7.21Q1 2025: $7.25Q2 2025: $7.01Q3 2025: $7.09Q4 2025: $7.08Q1 2026: $7.40Q2 2026: $8.04Q3 2026: $7.78Forward: $9.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.72+25%
Q3 2026$7.78+9.7%
Q2 2026$8.04+15%
Q1 2026$7.40+2.1%
Q4 2025$7.08-1.8%
Q3 2025$7.09+2.5%
Q2 2025$7.01+1.9%
Q1 2025$7.25+7.4%
Q4 2024$7.21+397%

MSA earned $7.78 per share over the past year, up 9.7% from the year before.

MSA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $495MQ1 2024: $413MQ2 2024: $462MQ3 2024: $433MQ4 2024: $500MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $474MQ3 2025: $468MQ4 2025: $511MQ1 2026: $464MQ2 2026: $503MQ3 2026: $536M
Q4 2023: $495MQ1 2024: $413MQ2 2024: $462MQ3 2024: $433MQ4 2024: $500MQ1 2025: $421MQ2 2025: $474MQ3 2025: $468MQ4 2025: $511MQ1 2026: $464MQ2 2026: $503MQ3 2026: $536M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$536.4M+15%
Q2 2026$503.3M+6.2%
Q1 2026$463.6M+10%
Q4 2025$510.9M+2.2%
Q3 2025$468.4M+8.3%
Q2 2025$474.1M+2.5%
Q1 2025$421.3M+1.9%
Q4 2024$499.7M+0.9%

MSA's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $536M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $147MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $93MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $100MQ4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $68M
Q4 2023: $147MQ1 2024: $40MQ2 2024: $39MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $93MQ1 2025: $51MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $100MQ4 2025: $106MQ1 2026: $65MQ2 2026: $83MQ3 2026: $68M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$68.2M-32%
Q2 2026$82.7M+118%
Q1 2026$65.1M+28%
Q4 2025$106M+13%
Q3 2025$100.5M+43%
Q2 2025$37.9M-2.8%
Q1 2025$51M+29%
Q4 2024$93.5M-36%

MSA generated $322M in free cash flow over the past year, up 14% from the year before.

MSA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 39MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-50K shares
1 year-1.6%-633K shares
3 years-2%-803K shares
5 years-2%-783K shares
Available history-1.4%-542K shares

MSA has 39M diluted shares, down 1.6% from a year ago, with $139M in buybacks over the past year.

MSA Net Leverage

Q3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 1.2xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.0xHealthy
Q2 20251.2xHealthy
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low

MSA's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from a year a year ago.

MSA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.4Neutral
Stochastic19.5Oversold

MSA's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MSA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMSASector medianRelative
PE22x24x6.6% below
PE %85850 pts below

MSA is trading at 22x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

MSA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$178.62.3% below
20 week MA$181.03.5% below
50 week MA$176.30.9% below
100 week MA$169.63% above
200 week MA$168.13.9% above

MSA has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 3.9% above its 200-week average.

MSA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$127.4$149.0+17%
2021$149.0$147.2-1.2%
2022$147.2$140.7-4.4%
2023$140.7$168.8+20%
2024$168.8$167.2-1%
2025$167.2$163.9-2%
2026 YTD$163.9$174.6+6.6%

MSA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 6.6% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key