MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ZBAO

Zhibao Technology Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares

There isn't enough reported data to score ZBAO yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

ZBAO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
N/A
N/A

ZBAO's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ZBAO.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

ZBAO PE Valuation

ZBAO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

ZBAO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for ZBAO to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and ZBAO's risk to reward.

ZBAO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $0.21 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and ZBAO's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over ZBAO in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

ZBAO Earnings Per Share

Q2 2022: $8.44Q3 2022: $5.95Q4 2022: $3.47Q1 2023: $-4.22Q2 2023: $-11.90Q4 2023: $-16.54Q2 2024: $3.30Q4 2024: $5.25Q2 2025: $-14.56
Q2 2022: $8.44Q3 2022: $5.95Q4 2022: $3.47Q1 2023: $-4.22Q2 2023: $-11.90Q4 2023: $-16.54Q2 2024: $3.30Q4 2024: $5.25Q2 2025: $-14.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2025-$14.56-541%
Q4 2024$5.25+$21.79
Q2 2024$3.30+$15.20
Q4 2023-$16.54-577%
Q2 2023-$11.90-241%

ZBAO lost $14.56 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

ZBAO has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus up 144% for ZBAO.

ZBAO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2021: $9MQ1 2022: $4MQ2 2022: $8MQ3 2022: $7MQ4 2022: $7MQ1 2023: $4MQ2 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $13MQ2 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $22MQ2 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $31M
Q4 2021: $9MQ1 2022: $4MQ2 2022: $8MQ3 2022: $7MQ4 2022: $7MQ1 2023: $4MQ2 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $13MQ2 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $22MQ2 2025: $20MQ4 2025: $31M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$30.9M+41%
Q2 2025$19.6M+31%
Q4 2024$22M+74%
Q2 2024$14.9M+89%
Q4 2023$12.6M+85%
Q2 2023$7.9M+2.9%
Q1 2023$3.8M+1.7%
Q4 2022$6.8M-22%

ZBAO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $31M last quarter, up 144% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 492% versus its history, compared with ZBAO at down 603%.

ZBAO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2021: $3MQ1 2022: −$2MQ2 2022: −$3MQ3 2022: $15MQ4 2022: $15MQ1 2023: −$16MQ2 2023: −$32MQ4 2023: --Q2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: --Q4 2025: −$2M
Q4 2021: $3MQ1 2022: −$2MQ2 2022: −$3MQ3 2022: $15MQ4 2022: $15MQ1 2023: −$16MQ2 2023: −$32MQ4 2023: --Q2 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q2 2025: --Q4 2025: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2023-$32.3M-$29M
Q1 2023-$15.5M-$14M
Q4 2022$15.3M+420%
Q3 2022$15.5M+934%

ZBAO's free cash flow was −$34M over the past year, against $14M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ZBAO.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over ZBAO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ZBAO Total Shares

Q4 2021: 175,593Q1 2022: 882,378Q2 2022: 877,963Q3 2022: 527,778Q4 2022: 527,778Q1 2023: 540,622Q2 2023: 540,622Q4 2023: 600,000Q2 2024: 607,356Q4 2024: 631,744Q2 2025: 639,728
Q4 2021: 175,593Q1 2022: 882,378Q2 2022: 877,963Q3 2022: 527,778Q4 2022: 527,778Q1 2023: 540,622Q2 2023: 540,622Q4 2023: 600,000Q2 2024: 607,356Q4 2024: 631,744Q2 2025: 639,728
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+8K shares
1 year+18%+99.1K shares

ZBAO has 639,728 diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

ZBAO Net Leverage

Q2 2022: 1.1xQ3 2022: 5.5xQ4 2022: 1.0x
Q2 2022: 1.1xQ3 2022: 5.5xQ4 2022: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20221.0xVery low
Q3 20225.5xHigh
Q2 20221.1xHealthy

ZBAO's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ZBAO.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

ZBAO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI24.8Oversold
Stochastic0.1Oversold

ZBAO's weekly RSI is 25 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 0 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

ZBAO PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricZBAOSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

ZBAO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has stronger trend alignment. MS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus ZBAO above 0 of 4.

ZBAO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.7588% below
20 week MA$7.4397% below
50 week MA$27.999% below
100 week MA$43.1100% below

ZBAO is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 100% below its 100-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over ZBAO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ZBAO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$170.0$88.0-48%
2025$88.0$44.7-49%
2026 YTD$44.7$0.21-100%

ZBAO has finished every year since 2024 lower, and it's down 100% so far in 2026.

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