MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

YRD

Yiren Digital Ltd.

There isn't enough reported data to score YRD yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

YRD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

YRD's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like YRD.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

YRD PE Valuation

YRD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

YRD Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for YRD to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and YRD's risk to reward.

YRD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.32 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and YRD's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over YRD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

YRD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $3.34Q4 2023: $3.50Q1 2024: $3.61Q2 2024: $3.43Q3 2024: $3.11Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.31Q2 2025: $2.22Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $-1.18Q2 2026: $-2.56
Q3 2023: $3.34Q4 2023: $3.50Q1 2024: $3.61Q2 2024: $3.43Q3 2024: $3.11Q4 2024: $2.71Q1 2025: $2.31Q2 2025: $2.22Q3 2025: $2.16Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $-1.18Q2 2026: $-2.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$2.56-215%
Q1 2026-$1.18-151%
Q4 2025$0.10-96%
Q3 2025$2.16-31%
Q2 2025$2.22-35%
Q1 2025$2.31-36%
Q4 2024$2.71-23%
Q3 2024$3.11-6.9%

YRD has swung to a loss: it lost $2.56 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over YRD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

YRD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $197MQ4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $207MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $233MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $233MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $134M
Q3 2023: $197MQ4 2023: $191MQ1 2024: $207MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $233MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $233MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $137MQ2 2026: $134M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$133.6M-47%
Q1 2026$137.3M-41%
Q4 2025$141.9M-35%
Q3 2025$233.4M+5.1%
Q2 2025$251.3M+12%
Q1 2025$233.3M+13%
Q4 2024$217.9M+14%
Q3 2024$222M+13%

YRD's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $134M last quarter, down 47% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS has the edge over YRD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

YRD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: โˆ’$822,991Q4 2025: โˆ’$31MQ1 2026: โˆ’$98MQ2 2026: โˆ’$154M
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $72MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: โˆ’$822,991Q4 2025: โˆ’$31MQ1 2026: โˆ’$98MQ2 2026: โˆ’$154M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$154.4M-350%
Q1 2026-$98.4M-237%
Q4 2025-$31M-$31M
Q3 2025-$823K-$823K
Q2 2025$61.7M+11%
Q1 2025$71.8M-24%
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

YRD's free cash flow was โˆ’$285M over the past year, against $134M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like YRD.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over YRD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

YRD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 89MQ4 2023: 89MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 87MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 88MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 87M
Q3 2023: 89MQ4 2023: 89MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 87MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 87MQ1 2025: 87MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 88MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 87M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+12.7K shares
1 year+0.5%+437K shares
3 years-2.3%-2.1M shares
5 years+3.4%+2.9M shares
Available history-6.1%-5.7M shares

YRD has 87M diluted shares, up 0.5% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

YRD Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -2.1xQ4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.9xQ2 2025: -3.0xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -13.9x
Q3 2023: -2.1xQ4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -2.3xQ1 2025: -2.9xQ2 2025: -3.0xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: -13.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-13.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2024-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.2xNet Cash

YRD has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like YRD.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

YRD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI19.0Oversold
Stochastic2.9Oversold

YRD's weekly RSI is 19 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 3 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

YRD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricYRDSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

YRD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over YRD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

YRD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.6853% below
20 week MA$0.9767% below
50 week MA$2.0885% below
100 week MA$4.0192% below
200 week MA$3.8892% below

YRD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 92% below its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over YRD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

YRD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.06$3.05-40%
2021$3.05$2.75-9.8%
2022$2.75$1.31-52%
2023$1.31$3.12+138%
2024$3.12$4.87+56%
2025$4.87$4.00-18%
2026 YTD$4.00$0.32-92%

YRD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +138% in 2023 to โˆ’52% in 2022. It's down 92% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key