MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

YB

Yuanbao Inc. American Depositary Shares

There isn't enough reported data to score YB yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

YB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

YB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like YB.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

YB PE Valuation

YB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

YB Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for YB to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and YB's risk to reward.

YB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $11.07 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and YB's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

YB Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $-0.73Q4 2024: $14.21Q1 2025: $19.17Q2 2025: $35.89Q3 2025: $44.56Q4 2025: $38.34
Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $-0.73Q4 2024: $14.21Q1 2025: $19.17Q2 2025: $35.89Q3 2025: $44.56Q4 2025: $38.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2025$38.34+170%
Q3 2025$44.56+$45.29
Q2 2025$35.89+$36.11

YB has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

YB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $82MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $130MQ4 2024: $133MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $161MQ3 2025: $174MQ4 2025: $174MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $209M
Q3 2023: $81MQ4 2023: $82MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $130MQ4 2024: $133MQ1 2025: $146MQ2 2025: $161MQ3 2025: $174MQ4 2025: $174MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $209M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$209.2M+30%
Q1 2026$197.5M+36%
Q4 2025$173.9M+30%
Q3 2025$173.8M+34%
Q2 2025$160.6M+25%
Q1 2025$145.6M+44%
Q4 2024$133.4M+63%
Q3 2024$130.1M+61%

YB has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

YB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $222MQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: $52MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $222MQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$221.5M+433%
Q3 2025$0-100%
Q4 2024$41.5M+71%
Q3 2024$52.2M+2032%
Q4 2023$24.2M+138%

YB's free cash flow was $222M over the past year, up 88% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like YB.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over YB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

YB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 8MQ4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ2 2026: 48M
Q3 2023: 8MQ4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ2 2026: 48M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+496%+40.1M shares
1 year+541%+40.7M shares

YB has 48M diluted shares, up 541% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

YB Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -2.9xQ3 2024: -2.7xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.7x
Q2 2024: -2.9xQ3 2024: -2.7xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -2.2xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-2.7xNet Cash

YB has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

YB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic8.9Oversold

YB's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

YB PE vs Financial Services Sector

YB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has stronger trend alignment. MS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus YB above 0 of 3.

YB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.64.6% below
20 week MA$12.914% below
50 week MA$16.031% below

YB is in a downtrend: it's below all three of its weekly moving averages, and 31% below its 50-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over YB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

YB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$15.1$20.1+33%
2026 YTD$20.1$11.1-45%

YB has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 45% so far in 2026.

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