MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

WTFC

Wintrust Financial Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score WTFC yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

WTFC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

WTFC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WTFC.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

WTFC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$119-23%
Forward11x$154โ€”
Fair12x$152-1.7%
Current12x$154โ€”
Expensive13x$169+9.4%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WTFC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

WTFC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WTFC, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and WTFC's risk to reward.

WTFC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $154.37 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and WTFC's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over WTFC on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WTFC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $9.58Q1 2024: $9.67Q2 2024: $9.61Q3 2024: $9.55Q4 2024: $10.31Q1 2025: $10.11Q2 2025: $10.57Q3 2025: $10.88Q4 2025: $11.40Q1 2026: $11.93Q2 2026: $12.45Q3 2026: $13.04Forward: $13.90
Q4 2023: $9.58Q1 2024: $9.67Q2 2024: $9.61Q3 2024: $9.55Q4 2024: $10.31Q1 2025: $10.11Q2 2025: $10.57Q3 2025: $10.88Q4 2025: $11.40Q1 2026: $11.93Q2 2026: $12.45Q3 2026: $13.04Forward: $13.90
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.90+6.6%
Q3 2026$13.04+20%
Q2 2026$12.45+18%
Q1 2026$11.93+18%
Q4 2025$11.40+11%
Q3 2025$10.88+14%
Q2 2025$10.57+10%
Q1 2025$10.11+4.6%
Q4 2024$10.31+7.6%

WTFC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $13.04 over the past year, up 20% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over WTFC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WTFC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $605MQ2 2024: $592MQ3 2024: $616MQ4 2024: $639MQ1 2025: $643MQ2 2025: $671MQ3 2025: $698MQ4 2025: $714MQ1 2026: $713MQ2 2026: $739MQ3 2026: $758M
Q4 2023: $571MQ1 2024: $605MQ2 2024: $592MQ3 2024: $616MQ4 2024: $639MQ1 2025: $643MQ2 2025: $671MQ3 2025: $698MQ4 2025: $714MQ1 2026: $713MQ2 2026: $739MQ3 2026: $758M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$757.9M+8.6%
Q2 2026$738.6M+10%
Q1 2026$713.2M+11%
Q4 2025$714.3M+12%
Q3 2025$697.8M+13%
Q2 2025$670.8M+13%
Q1 2025$643.1M+6.3%
Q4 2024$638.6M+12%

WTFC's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $758M last quarter, up 8.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

WTFC has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 121% versus its history, compared with MS at down 492%.

WTFC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $231MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: โˆ’$78MQ4 2024: $471MQ1 2025: $120MQ2 2025: $329MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $927MQ2 2026: $255MQ3 2026: $358M
Q4 2023: $231MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: โˆ’$78MQ4 2024: $471MQ1 2025: $120MQ2 2025: $329MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $927MQ2 2026: $255MQ3 2026: $358M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$357.8M+71%
Q2 2026$255.1M-22%
Q1 2026$927.2M+674%
Q3 2025$209.8M+$288.1M
Q2 2025$329.2M+81%
Q1 2025$119.8M+98%
Q4 2024$471.2M+104%
Q3 2024-$78.3M-215%

WTFC's free cash flow was $1.7B over the past year, up 108% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like WTFC.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over WTFC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WTFC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 68MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 68MQ3 2026: 68M
Q4 2023: 62MQ1 2024: 62MQ2 2024: 63MQ3 2024: 66MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 68MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 68MQ3 2026: 68M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+92K shares
1 year+0.6%+398K shares
3 years+10%+6.2M shares
5 years+18%+10.6M shares
Available history+19%+10.8M shares

WTFC has 68M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

WTFC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.1xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.3xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.3xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

WTFC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

WTFC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic54.8Neutral

WTFC's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

WTFC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWTFCSector medianRelative
PE12x13x9.1% below
PE %55638 pts below

WTFC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

WTFC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$148.44% above
20 week MA$153.70.5% above
50 week MA$149.43.3% above
100 week MA$136.913% above
200 week MA$114.435% above

WTFC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

WTFC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$70.8$61.9-13%
2021$61.9$89.4+44%
2022$89.4$83.3-6.9%
2023$83.3$92.8+11%
2024$92.8$125.2+35%
2025$125.2$143.3+14%
2026 YTD$143.3$154.4+7.8%

WTFC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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