MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over WHG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WHG

Westwood Holdings Group, Inc.

55
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

WHG offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

WHG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

WHG's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WHG.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

WHG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x55x82x109x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x55x82x109x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$11.25-40%
Fair23x$18.30-1.8%
Current23x$18.63—
Expensive50x$40.71+119%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WHG has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

WHG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for WHG to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WHG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

WHG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$23.53
Downside-14%$15.96

Calculated from the latest close: $18.63 on Nov 12.

WHG trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over WHG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WHG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.17Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $0.72Q3 2024: $0.32Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.61Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.79Q1 2026: $0.83Q2 2026: $0.88Q3 2026: $0.81
Q4 2023: $1.17Q1 2024: $1.35Q2 2024: $0.72Q3 2024: $0.32Q4 2024: $-0.39Q1 2025: $-0.61Q2 2025: $-0.22Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.79Q1 2026: $0.83Q2 2026: $0.88Q3 2026: $0.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.81+350%
Q2 2026$0.88+$1.10
Q1 2026$0.83+$1.44
Q4 2025$0.79+$1.18
Q3 2025$0.18-44%
Q2 2025-$0.22-131%
Q1 2025-$0.61-145%
Q4 2024-$0.39-133%

WHG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.81 over the past year, against $1.35 in early 2024.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over WHG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WHG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $23MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.6M+9.4%
Q2 2026$25.3M+9.6%
Q1 2026$25M+7.4%
Q4 2025$27.1M+32%
Q3 2025$24.3M+2.4%
Q2 2025$23.1M+1.9%
Q1 2025$23.3M+2.3%
Q4 2024$20.5M-12%

WHG's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $27M last quarter, up 9.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

WHG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $519,000Q4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: --Q3 2024: $519,000Q4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$5.9M-30%
Q1 2026-$2.8M+$2.1M
Q4 2025$8M-9.7%
Q3 2025$8.5M+1531%
Q1 2025-$4.9M-160%
Q4 2024$8.8M+98%
Q3 2024$519K+$2.3M
Q1 2024$8.1M+$11.4M

WHG has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over WHG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WHG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 9M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 9M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+112K shares
1 year+2.8%+251K shares
3 years+13%+1.1M shares
5 years+16%+1.2M shares
Available history+8.6%+729K shares

WHG has 9M diluted shares, up 2.8% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

WHG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -3.3x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2024-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-1.9xNet Cash
Q3 2023-4.5xNet Cash
Q2 2022-3.3xNet Cash
Q1 2022-2.7xNet Cash
Q4 2021-1.8xNet Cash

WHG has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

WHG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.4Neutral
Stochastic27.1Neutral

WHG's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over WHG on valuation relative to its sector.

WHG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricWHGSector medianRelative
PE23x13x77% above
PE %516312 pts below

WHG is trading at 23x earnings, a 77% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

WHG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.91.4% below
20 week MA$19.23% below
50 week MA$17.94% above
100 week MA$17.19.3% above
200 week MA$14.727% above

WHG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

WHG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.6$13.4-55%
2021$13.4$16.8+26%
2022$16.8$10.5-38%
2023$10.5$12.6+20%
2024$12.6$14.1+12%
2025$14.1$17.8+26%
2026 YTD$17.8$18.6+4.7%

WHG has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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