MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over WASH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
WASH
Washington Trust Bancorp, Inc.
WASH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
WASH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Unavailable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
WASH's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like WASH.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
WASH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.7x | $29.19 | -25% |
| Fair | 11x | $38.02 | -2.4% |
| Forward | 11x | $38.95 | — |
| Current | 12x | $38.95 | — |
| Expensive | 13x | $42.85 | +10% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
WASH has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
WASH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for WASH, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 29% for MS versus WASH up 25%.
WASH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.52 | +5.4% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.68 | -11% |
| Q2 2024 | $2.69 | -22% |
| Q1 2024 | $2.72 | -30% |
| Q4 2023 | $2.82 | -31% |
| Q3 2023 | $3.00 | -30% |
| Q2 2023 | $3.43 | -20% |
| Q1 2023 | $3.91 | -6% |
| Q4 2022 | $4.11 | -6.4% |
WASH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.34 over the past year, against $4.51 in early 2021.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over WASH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
WASH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $65M | +15% |
| Q2 2026 | $60.5M | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $57.8M | -2.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $56.5M | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $54.3M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $59.1M | +21% |
| Q3 2024 | $48.5M | -0.9% |
| Q2 2024 | $48.2M | +0.9% |
WASH's revenue is growing: $65M last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 38% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 28% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 35% | N/A |
| Q3 2025 | 25% | -3.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 32% | +2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -1.7 points |
| Q3 2024 | 29% | -0.3 points |
WASH has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
WASH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.4M | -48% |
| Q2 2026 | $22M | +101% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.8M | +77% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.3M | +61% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.9M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.4M | +533% |
| Q3 2024 | $24.4M | -17% |
| Q2 2024 | $9.6M | +$32.4M |
WASH has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over WASH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
WASH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +60K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +21K shares |
| 3 years | +13% | +2.2M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +1.8M shares |
| Available history | +10% | +1.8M shares |
WASH has 19M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $629,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $6.4M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $73,000 |
| Q3 2023 | — |
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
WASH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 5.8x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 7.7x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 18.7x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 24.6x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 19.3x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 18.0x | High |
WASH has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
WASH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 52.2 | Neutral |
WASH's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
WASH PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | WASH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12x | 13x | 10% below |
| PE % | 56 | 63 | 7 pts below |
WASH has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
WASH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $38.3 | 1.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $38.5 | 1.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $35.1 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $32.1 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.2 | 25% above |
WASH has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.
WASH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $54.0 | $44.3 | -18% |
| 2021 | $44.3 | $56.4 | +27% |
| 2022 | $56.4 | $47.6 | -16% |
| 2023 | $47.6 | $32.4 | -32% |
| 2024 | $32.4 | $30.8 | -5% |
| 2025 | $30.8 | $30.2 | -1.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.2 | $39.0 | +29% |
WASH has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.