MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

VRM

Vroom, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score VRM yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

VRM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

VRM's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like VRM.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

VRM PE Valuation

VRM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

VRM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for VRM to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and VRM's risk to reward.

VRM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $6.99 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and VRM's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over VRM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VRM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-336.89Q1 2024: $-331.37Q2 2024: $-304.74Q3 2024: $-279.53Q4 2024: $-91.07Q1 2025: $-54.62Q2 2025: $-44.50Q3 2025: $-27.66Q4 2025: $-10.24Q1 2026: $-12.78Q2 2026: $-11.14Q3 2026: $-8.00
Q4 2023: $-336.89Q1 2024: $-331.37Q2 2024: $-304.74Q3 2024: $-279.53Q4 2024: $-91.07Q1 2025: $-54.62Q2 2025: $-44.50Q3 2025: $-27.66Q4 2025: $-10.24Q1 2026: $-12.78Q2 2026: $-11.14Q3 2026: $-8.00
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$8.00+$19.66
Q2 2026-$11.14+$33.36
Q1 2026-$12.78+$41.84
Q4 2025-$10.24+$80.83
Q3 2025-$27.66+$251.87
Q2 2025-$44.50+$260.24
Q1 2025-$54.62+$276.75
Q4 2024-$91.07+$245.82

VRM is still losing money, but far less than before: $8.00 per share over the past year, against $1,463.08 at its worst in early 2020.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over VRM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VRM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $236MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $41MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: $236MQ1 2024: $35MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $41MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $40MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$38.4M-6.3%
Q2 2026$40.3M-2.7%
Q1 2026$37.6M+3.9%
Q4 2025$38.9M-8.4%
Q3 2025$41M-10%
Q2 2025$41.4M-9.8%
Q1 2025$36.2M+3.8%
Q4 2024$42.5M-82%

VRM's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $38M last quarter, down 6.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

VRM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$111MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: โˆ’$67MQ3 2024: โˆ’$33MQ4 2024: โˆ’$24MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $20M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$111MQ1 2024: $22MQ2 2024: โˆ’$67MQ3 2024: โˆ’$33MQ4 2024: โˆ’$24MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$19.9M+16%
Q2 2026$17.3M+8.5%
Q1 2026$16.9M+9.8%
Q4 2025$19.6M+$43.1M
Q3 2025$17.2M+$50.1M
Q2 2025$16M+$82.5M
Q1 2025$15.4M-32%
Q4 2024-$23.5M+$87.8M

VRM has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over VRM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VRM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+29.4K shares
1 year+0.8%+43.9K shares
3 years+201%+3.5M shares
5 years+207%+3.5M shares
Available history+4750%+5.1M shares

VRM has 5M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

VRM Net Leverage

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

VRM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.0Neutral
Stochastic9.8Oversold

VRM's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

VRM PE vs Financial Services Sector

VRM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over VRM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.2515% below
20 week MA$8.6719% below
50 week MA$12.845% below
100 week MA$18.262% below
200 week MA$33.579% below

VRM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% below its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over VRM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3,442.4$3,431.2-0.3%
2021$3,431.2$880.0-74%
2022$880.0$75.2-91%
2023$75.2$48.2-36%
2024$48.2$5.28-89%
2025$5.28$22.5+326%
2026 YTD$22.5$6.99-69%

VRM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +326% in 2025 to โˆ’91% in 2022. It's down 69% so far in 2026.

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