MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

UMAC

Unusual Machines, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score UMAC yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

UMAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

UMAC's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UMAC.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

UMAC PE Valuation

UMAC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

UMAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect UMAC's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and UMAC's risk to reward.

UMAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $11.83 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and UMAC's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over UMAC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

UMAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.00Q1 2024: $-0.11Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-3.84Q1 2025: $-3.87Q2 2025: $-4.03Q3 2025: $-3.68Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.16Q3 2026: $-0.71
Q4 2023: $0.00Q1 2024: $-0.11Q2 2024: $-0.22Q3 2024: $-0.48Q4 2024: $-3.84Q1 2025: $-3.87Q2 2025: $-4.03Q3 2025: $-3.68Q4 2025: $-0.74Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.16Q3 2026: $-0.71
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.71+$2.97
Q2 2026-$0.16+$3.87
Q1 2026-$0.32+$3.55
Q4 2025-$0.74+$3.10
Q3 2025-$3.68-$3.20
Q2 2025-$4.03-$3.81
Q1 2025-$3.87-$3.76
Q4 2024-$3.84-$3.84

UMAC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.71 per share over the past year, against $4.03 at its worst in mid-2025.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

UMAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $618,915Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $14M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: $618,915Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: $14M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$13.9M+551%
Q2 2026$16.7M+687%
Q1 2026$8.1M+296%
Q4 2025$4.9M+144%
Q3 2025$2.1M+39%
Q2 2025$2.1M+51%
Q1 2025$2M+230%

UMAC's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $14M last quarter, up 551% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS has the edge over UMAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UMAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17,310Q1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$986,236Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: −$21MQ3 2026: −$41M
Q4 2023: −$17,310Q1 2024: −$1MQ2 2024: −$986,236Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: −$1MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: −$9MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: −$21MQ3 2026: −$41M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$40.6M-$31.8M
Q1 2026-$18.1M-$16.9M
Q4 2025-$10.3M-$9M
Q1 2025-$1.2M+$2K
Q4 2024-$1.3M-$1.3M
Q2 2024-$986.2K-$505.8K
Q1 2024-$1.2M-$653.2K
Q4 2023-$17.3K+$489K

UMAC's free cash flow was −$90M over the past year, against −$12M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UMAC.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over UMAC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UMAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 31MQ1 2026: 48MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.8%+1.4M shares
1 year+130%+28.2M shares
3 years+473%+41.3M shares

UMAC has 50M diluted shares, up 130% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

UMAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -12.8x
Q4 2023: -12.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2023-12.8xNet Cash

UMAC has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UMAC.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

UMAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.2Neutral
Stochastic5.8Oversold

UMAC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

UMAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

UMAC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has stronger trend alignment. MS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus UMAC above 0 of 4.

UMAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.532% below
20 week MA$21.044% below
50 week MA$18.034% below
100 week MA$13.915% below

UMAC is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 100-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over UMAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UMAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$2.99$17.0+468%
2025$17.0$12.2-28%
2026 YTD$12.2$11.8-3.1%

UMAC has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 3.1% so far in 2026.

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