MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

UBS

UBS Group AG

There isn't enough reported data to score UBS yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

UBS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

UBS's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like UBS.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over UBS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UBS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$17.70-63%
Fair9.8x$23.26-52%
Forward11x$48.44โ€”
Current20x$48.44โ€”
Expensive21x$49.06+1.3%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UBS's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

UBS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for UBS, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and UBS's risk to reward.

UBS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $48.44 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and UBS's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

UBS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2022: $2.18Q2 2022: $2.24Q4 2022: $2.25Q1 2023: $1.96Q2 2023: $9.86Q4 2023: $7.98Q1 2024: $8.18Q2 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.53Q2 2025: $1.91Q4 2025: $2.38Forward: $4.32
Q1 2022: $2.18Q2 2022: $2.24Q4 2022: $2.25Q1 2023: $1.96Q2 2023: $9.86Q4 2023: $7.98Q1 2024: $8.18Q2 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $1.52Q1 2025: $1.53Q2 2025: $1.91Q4 2025: $2.38Forward: $4.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.32+82%
Q4 2025$2.38+57%
Q2 2025$1.91+19000%
Q1 2025$1.53-81%
Q4 2024$1.52-81%
Q2 2024$0.01-100%
Q1 2024$8.18+317%
Q4 2023$7.98+255%
Q2 2023$9.86+340%

UBS has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

UBS Quarterly Revenue

Q1 2022: $9.4BQ2 2022: $8.7BQ4 2022: $16.3BQ1 2023: $11.5BQ2 2023: $13.8BQ4 2023: $22.6BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $18.3BQ4 2024: $24BQ1 2025: $18.9BQ2 2025: $18.3BQ4 2025: $24.9B
Q1 2022: $9.4BQ2 2022: $8.7BQ4 2022: $16.3BQ1 2023: $11.5BQ2 2023: $13.8BQ4 2023: $22.6BQ1 2024: $19.6BQ2 2024: $18.3BQ4 2024: $24BQ1 2025: $18.9BQ2 2025: $18.3BQ4 2025: $24.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$24.9B+3.9%
Q2 2025$18.3B-0.2%
Q1 2025$18.9B-3.4%
Q4 2024$24B+6.3%
Q2 2024$18.3B+33%
Q1 2024$19.6B+71%
Q4 2023$22.6B+39%
Q2 2023$13.8B+58%

UBS has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

UBS Free Cash Flow

Q1 2022: $26.9BQ2 2022: โˆ’$9.5BQ4 2022: --Q1 2023: โˆ’$25.5BQ2 2023: $42.3BQ4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.1BQ2 2024: โˆ’$186MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $14.8BQ2 2025: $5BQ4 2025: --
Q1 2022: $26.9BQ2 2022: โˆ’$9.5BQ4 2022: --Q1 2023: โˆ’$25.5BQ2 2023: $42.3BQ4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.1BQ2 2024: โˆ’$186MQ4 2024: --Q1 2025: $14.8BQ2 2025: $5BQ4 2025: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2025$5B+$5.1B
Q1 2025$14.8B+33%
Q2 2024-$186M-100%
Q1 2024$11.1B+$36.6B
Q2 2023$42.3B+$51.8B
Q1 2023-$25.5B-195%
Q2 2022-$9.5B-$6.5B
Q1 2022$26.9B+$26.9B

UBS's free cash flow was $30.7B over the past year, down 10% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like UBS.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

UBS Total Shares

Q1 2022: 3.5BQ2 2022: 3.4BQ4 2022: 3.4BQ1 2023: 3.2BQ2 2023: 3.4BQ4 2023: 3.3BQ1 2024: 3.4BQ2 2024: 3.4BQ4 2024: 3.4BQ1 2025: 3.3BQ2 2025: 3.3BQ4 2025: 3.3B
Q1 2022: 3.5BQ2 2022: 3.4BQ4 2022: 3.4BQ1 2023: 3.2BQ2 2023: 3.4BQ4 2023: 3.3BQ1 2024: 3.4BQ2 2024: 3.4BQ4 2024: 3.4BQ1 2025: 3.3BQ2 2025: 3.3BQ4 2025: 3.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-16.3M shares
1 year-2.1%-69M shares
3 years-9.3%-337M shares
5 years-15%-563M shares

UBS has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

UBS Net Leverage

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

UBS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.9Neutral
Stochastic20.3Neutral

UBS's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over UBS on valuation relative to its sector.

UBS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricUBSSector medianRelative
PE20x13x56% above
PE %836320 pts above

UBS is trading at 20x earnings, a 56% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

UBS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.91.1% above
20 week MA$51.05% below
50 week MA$46.93.4% above
100 week MA$40.918% above
200 week MA$33.843% above

UBS has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over UBS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UBS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.5$14.1+13%
2021$14.1$17.8+27%
2022$17.8$18.6+4.5%
2023$18.6$30.9+66%
2024$30.9$30.7-0.7%
2025$30.7$47.3+54%
2026 YTD$47.3$48.4+2.5%

UBS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 2.5% so far in 2026.

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