MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

TVC

Tennessee Valley Authority

There isn't enough reported data to score TVC yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

TVC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

TVC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TVC.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

TVC PE Valuation

TVC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

TVC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TVC to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and TVC's risk to reward.

TVC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $23.77 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and TVC's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

TVC Earnings Per Share

TVC and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over TVC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TVC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.4B
Q3 2023: $3.4BQ4 2023: $2.8BQ1 2024: $3.2BQ2 2024: $2.9BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.3BQ3 2025: $3.9BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$3.4B+4.1%
Q1 2026$3.5B+0.4%
Q4 2025$3B+4.4%
Q3 2025$3.9B+11%
Q2 2025$3.3B+15%
Q1 2025$3.5B+12%
Q4 2024$2.9B+5.6%
Q3 2024$3.5B+4%

TVC's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $3.4B last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS has the edge over TVC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TVC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $395MQ4 2023: โˆ’$470MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: โˆ’$248MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: โˆ’$759MQ1 2025: โˆ’$176MQ2 2025: โˆ’$431MQ3 2025: $233MQ4 2025: โˆ’$814MQ1 2026: โˆ’$76MQ2 2026: โˆ’$101M
Q3 2023: $395MQ4 2023: โˆ’$470MQ1 2024: $276MQ2 2024: โˆ’$248MQ3 2024: $164MQ4 2024: โˆ’$759MQ1 2025: โˆ’$176MQ2 2025: โˆ’$431MQ3 2025: $233MQ4 2025: โˆ’$814MQ1 2026: โˆ’$76MQ2 2026: โˆ’$101M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$101M+$330M
Q1 2026-$76M+$100M
Q4 2025-$814M-$55M
Q3 2025$233M+42%
Q2 2025-$431M-$183M
Q1 2025-$176M-164%
Q4 2024-$759M-$289M
Q3 2024$164M-58%

TVC's free cash flow was โˆ’$758M over the past year, against โˆ’$1.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TVC.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

TVC Total Shares

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

TVC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.0xQ4 2023: 5.2xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
Q3 2023: 5.0xQ4 2023: 5.2xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.7xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.7xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 4.6xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20264.7xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.6xHigh
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20254.7xHigh
Q1 20254.7xHigh
Q4 20244.8xHigh
Q3 20244.4xHigh

TVC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

TVC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.0Neutral
Stochastic32.3Neutral

TVC's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TVC PE vs Financial Services Sector

TVC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over TVC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TVC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.80.2% below
20 week MA$23.90.6% below
50 week MA$24.11.2% below
100 week MA$23.80.3% below
200 week MA$23.03.2% above

TVC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 3.2% above its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over TVC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TVC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.6$26.4-0.6%
2021$26.4$25.4-3.8%
2022$25.4$21.0-17%
2023$21.0$23.0+9.9%
2024$23.0$22.6-1.9%
2025$22.6$24.2+6.9%
2026 YTD$24.2$23.8-1.6%

TVC has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 1.6% so far in 2026.

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