MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over TRST overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TRST

TrustCo Bank Corp NY

50
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

TRST trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

TRST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

TRST's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TRST.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

TRST PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.4x8.7x13x17x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.4x8.7x13x17x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$33.26-42%
Fair11x$42.22-27%
Expensive14x$52.94-8.2%
Current15x$57.66—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TRST has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

TRST Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TRST to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TRST, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TRST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$68.10
Downside-15%$49.13

Calculated from the latest close: $57.66 on Nov 12.

TRST trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over TRST on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TRST Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.79Q2 2024: $2.59Q3 2024: $2.50Q4 2024: $2.57Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.81Q3 2025: $2.99Q4 2025: $3.25Q1 2026: $3.41Q2 2026: $3.60Q3 2026: $3.76
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.79Q2 2024: $2.59Q3 2024: $2.50Q4 2024: $2.57Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.81Q3 2025: $2.99Q4 2025: $3.25Q1 2026: $3.41Q2 2026: $3.60Q3 2026: $3.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.76+26%
Q2 2026$3.60+28%
Q1 2026$3.41+27%
Q4 2025$3.25+26%
Q3 2025$2.99+20%
Q2 2025$2.81+8.5%
Q1 2025$2.68-3.9%
Q4 2024$2.57-17%

TRST earned $3.76 per share over the past year, up 26% from the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over TRST on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TRST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $52M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $41MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: $45MQ2 2025: $47MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $52MQ3 2026: $52M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$51.9M+8.5%
Q2 2026$51.5M+11%
Q1 2026$49.5M+9.3%
Q4 2025$48.2M+11%
Q3 2025$47.8M+9.6%
Q2 2025$46.6M+7.3%
Q1 2025$45.3M+9.5%
Q4 2024$43.3M+0.5%

TRST's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $52M last quarter, up 8.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

TRST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: $25MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $10MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$19.3M+93%
Q2 2026$25.5M+2.3%
Q1 2026$10.2M+$13.4M
Q4 2025$14.1M+17%
Q3 2025$10M-36%
Q2 2025$24.9M+42%
Q1 2025-$3.3M-135%
Q4 2024$12M-19%

TRST has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

TRST Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.6%-447K shares
1 year-9.9%-1.9M shares
3 years-11%-2.1M shares
5 years-12%-2.3M shares
Available history-13%-2.4M shares

TRST has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

TRST Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -6.0xQ1 2024: -7.0xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -6.5xQ4 2024: -8.1xQ1 2025: -9.4xQ2 2025: -8.4xQ3 2025: -7.5xQ4 2025: -7.1xQ1 2026: -7.4xQ2 2026: -6.4xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -6.0xQ1 2024: -7.0xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -6.5xQ4 2024: -8.1xQ1 2025: -9.4xQ2 2025: -8.4xQ3 2025: -7.5xQ4 2025: -7.1xQ1 2026: -7.4xQ2 2026: -6.4xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-7.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-7.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-8.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-8.1xNet Cash

TRST has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

TRST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.8Neutral
Stochastic61.3Neutral

TRST's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 61 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over TRST on valuation relative to its sector.

TRST PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTRSTSector medianRelative
PE15x13x18% above
PE %956332 pts above

TRST is trading at 15x earnings, a 18% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

TRST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.83.3% above
20 week MA$56.22.6% above
50 week MA$50.215% above
100 week MA$42.137% above
200 week MA$36.359% above

TRST has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

TRST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$43.5$33.0-24%
2021$33.0$32.9-0.2%
2022$32.9$37.6+14%
2023$37.6$31.1-17%
2024$31.1$33.4+7.6%
2025$33.4$42.6+27%
2026 YTD$42.6$57.7+35%

TRST has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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