MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

TIPT

Tiptree Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score TIPT yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

TIPT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

TIPT's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TIPT.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

TIPT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x46x70x93x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current1.6x$17.52โ€”
Cheap8.4x$92.06+425%
Fair18x$198+1029%
Expensive30x$328+1775%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TIPT has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

TIPT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for TIPT to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and TIPT's risk to reward.

TIPT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $17.52 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and TIPT's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

TIPT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.33Q1 2024: $0.58Q2 2024: $0.73Q3 2024: $0.98Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.21Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $0.97Q2 2026: $10.90Q3 2026: $10.91
Q4 2023: $0.33Q1 2024: $0.58Q2 2024: $0.73Q3 2024: $0.98Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.21Q2 2025: $1.27Q3 2025: $1.11Q4 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $0.97Q2 2026: $10.90Q3 2026: $10.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$10.91+883%
Q2 2026$10.90+758%
Q1 2026$0.97-20%
Q4 2025$0.76-42%
Q3 2025$1.11+13%
Q2 2025$1.27+74%
Q1 2025$1.21+109%
Q4 2024$1.30+294%

TIPT's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $10.91 over the past year, up from $1.11 the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus down 100% for TIPT.

TIPT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $498MQ2 2024: $547MQ3 2024: $494MQ4 2024: $504MQ1 2025: $497MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $540MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $498MQ2 2024: $547MQ3 2024: $494MQ4 2024: $504MQ1 2025: $497MQ2 2025: $529MQ3 2025: $540MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: $0
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2025$540.3M+9.3%
Q2 2025$528.8M-3.3%
Q1 2025$497.4M-0.2%
Q4 2024$503.6M+13%
Q3 2024$494.4M+19%
Q2 2024$546.7M+35%
Q1 2024$498.2M+31%
Q4 2023$446.4M+21%

TIPT's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

TIPT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$24MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: โˆ’$34MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $133MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: โˆ’$18MQ2 2026: $53MQ3 2026: โˆ’$182M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$24MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $46MQ3 2024: $61MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: โˆ’$34MQ2 2025: $20MQ3 2025: $133MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: โˆ’$18MQ2 2026: $53MQ3 2026: โˆ’$182M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$182.1M-237%
Q2 2026$53M+164%
Q1 2026-$18.2M+$16.3M
Q4 2025$49.2M-28%
Q3 2025$133.4M+120%
Q2 2025$20.1M-56%
Q1 2025-$34.4M-156%
Q4 2024$68.2M+$91.8M

TIPT's free cash flow was โˆ’$98M over the past year, against $187M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TIPT.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

TIPT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 38M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 38MQ1 2026: 38MQ2 2026: 38MQ3 2026: 38M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+287K shares
1 year-2.1%-796K shares
3 years+0.3%+104K shares
5 years+11%+3.7M shares
Available history+9.8%+3.4M shares

TIPT has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

TIPT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.5xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.6xNet Cash

TIPT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like TIPT.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

TIPT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.9Neutral
Stochastic46.4Neutral

TIPT's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

TIPT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTIPTSector medianRelative
PE1.6x13x88% below
PE %26361 pts below

TIPT has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over TIPT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TIPT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.12.6% above
20 week MA$17.70.7% below
50 week MA$17.50.2% above
100 week MA$19.39.3% below
200 week MA$18.23.7% below

TIPT's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 3.7% below its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over TIPT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TIPT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.04$5.00-38%
2021$5.00$13.7+174%
2022$13.7$14.3+4.3%
2023$14.3$19.0+33%
2024$19.0$20.7+9.2%
2025$20.7$18.1-13%
2026 YTD$18.1$17.5-3.3%

TIPT has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 3.3% so far in 2026.

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