MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

TD

The Toronto-Dominion Bank

There isn't enough reported data to score TD yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

TD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
N/A
N/A

TD's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like TD.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

TD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap10x$59.97-52%
Fair11x$68.08-45%
Expensive16x$95.36-23%
Current21x$124โ€”

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TD has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over TD on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

TD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect TD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and TD's risk to reward.

TD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $123.80 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and TD's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 29% for MS versus TD down 12%.

TD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $5.44Q4 2023: $3.94Q1 2024: $4.45Q2 2024: $4.19Q3 2024: $2.99Q4 2024: $3.32Q1 2025: $3.32Q2 2025: $6.78Q3 2025: $8.20Q4 2025: $8.13Q1 2026: $8.68Q2 2026: $5.98
Q3 2023: $5.44Q4 2023: $3.94Q1 2024: $4.45Q2 2024: $4.19Q3 2024: $2.99Q4 2024: $3.32Q1 2025: $3.32Q2 2025: $6.78Q3 2025: $8.20Q4 2025: $8.13Q1 2026: $8.68Q2 2026: $5.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$5.98-12%
Q1 2026$8.68+161%
Q4 2025$8.13+145%
Q3 2025$8.20+174%
Q2 2025$6.78+62%
Q1 2025$3.32-25%
Q4 2024$3.32-16%
Q3 2024$2.99-45%

TD earned $5.98 per share over the past year, down 12% from the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

TD has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus up 18% for TD.

TD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $9BQ4 2023: $9.2BQ1 2024: $9.6BQ2 2024: $9.7BQ3 2024: $10BQ4 2024: $10.9BQ1 2025: $9.9BQ2 2025: $16.1BQ3 2025: $10.8BQ4 2025: $10.9BQ1 2026: $11.7BQ2 2026: $19B
Q3 2023: $9BQ4 2023: $9.2BQ1 2024: $9.6BQ2 2024: $9.7BQ3 2024: $10BQ4 2024: $10.9BQ1 2025: $9.9BQ2 2025: $16.1BQ3 2025: $10.8BQ4 2025: $10.9BQ1 2026: $11.7BQ2 2026: $19B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$19B+18%
Q1 2026$11.7B+18%
Q4 2025$10.9B-0.1%
Q3 2025$10.8B+7.9%
Q2 2025$16.1B+66%
Q1 2025$9.9B+2.4%
Q4 2024$10.9B+18%
Q3 2024$10B+11%

TD's revenue is growing: $19B last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

TD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $7.2B
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: $7.2B

TD and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

TD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.8BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 1.8BQ2 2024: 1.8BQ3 2024: 1.7BQ4 2024: 1.8BQ1 2025: 1.8BQ2 2025: 1.7BQ3 2025: 1.7BQ4 2025: 1.7BQ1 2026: 1.7BQ2 2026: 1.7B
Q3 2023: 1.8BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 1.8BQ2 2024: 1.8BQ3 2024: 1.7BQ4 2024: 1.8BQ1 2025: 1.8BQ2 2025: 1.7BQ3 2025: 1.7BQ4 2025: 1.7BQ1 2026: 1.7BQ2 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-24M shares
1 year-4.7%-81M shares
3 years-9.3%-170M shares
5 years-8.7%-159M shares
Available history-9.2%-168M shares

TD has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

TD Net Leverage

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

TD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.4Neutral
Stochastic68.9Neutral

TD's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over TD on valuation relative to its sector.

TD PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricTDSector medianRelative
PE21x13x59% above
PE %1006337 pts above

TD is trading at 21x earnings, a 59% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

TD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$121.22.2% above
20 week MA$121.12.3% above
50 week MA$108.814% above
100 week MA$88.640% above
200 week MA$74.367% above

TD has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

TD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.1$56.10%
2021$56.1$75.1+34%
2022$75.1$65.0-14%
2023$65.0$64.6-0.6%
2024$64.6$53.0-18%
2025$53.0$94.7+79%
2026 YTD$94.7$123.8+31%

TD has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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