MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SUPV

Grupo Supervielle S.A.

There isn't enough reported data to score SUPV yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

SUPV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SUPV's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SUPV.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over SUPV in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SUPV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.9x18x27x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.5x$0.82-86%
Current7.4x$5.68โ€”
Fair10x$1.57-72%
Expensive15x$2.22-61%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SUPV's PE is 7.4x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

SUPV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SUPV, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and SUPV's risk to reward.

SUPV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $5.68 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and SUPV's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

SUPV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2016: $0.01Q1 2017: $0.01Q2 2017: $0.02Q3 2017: $0.02Q4 2017: $0.02Q4 2018: $0.00Q4 2019: $0.00Q4 2020: $0.00Q4 2021: $0.00Q4 2022: $-0.01Q4 2023: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15
Q4 2016: $0.01Q1 2017: $0.01Q2 2017: $0.02Q3 2017: $0.02Q4 2017: $0.02Q4 2018: $0.00Q4 2019: $0.00Q4 2020: $0.00Q4 2021: $0.00Q4 2022: $-0.01Q4 2023: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2024$0.15+88%
Q4 2023$0.08+$0.09
Q4 2022-$0.01-$0.01
Q4 2021-$0.00-$0.00
Q4 2020$0.00$0.00
Q4 2019-$0.00$0.00
Q4 2018-$0.00-100%
Q4 2017$0.02+100%

SUPV has returned to profit: it earned $0.15 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

SUPV has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus up 1,959% for SUPV.

SUPV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2016: $3MQ1 2017: $3MQ2 2017: $3MQ3 2017: $4MQ4 2017: $4MQ4 2018: $11MQ4 2019: $18MQ4 2020: $27MQ4 2021: $36MQ4 2022: $72MQ4 2023: $296MQ4 2024: $555M
Q4 2016: $3MQ1 2017: $3MQ2 2017: $3MQ3 2017: $4MQ4 2017: $4MQ4 2018: $11MQ4 2019: $18MQ4 2020: $27MQ4 2021: $36MQ4 2022: $72MQ4 2023: $296MQ4 2024: $555M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2024$555.1M+87%
Q4 2023$296.1M+314%
Q4 2022$71.6M+99%
Q4 2021$36M+33%
Q4 2020$27M+49%
Q4 2019$18.1M+64%
Q4 2018$11.1M+188%
Q4 2017$3.8M+50%

SUPV's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2017: $555M last quarter, up 1959% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SUPV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2016: $888,555Q1 2017: $1MQ2 2017: โˆ’$2MQ3 2017: โˆ’$4MQ4 2017: โˆ’$15MQ4 2018: --Q4 2019: --Q4 2020: --Q4 2021: --Q4 2022: --Q4 2023: --Q4 2024: --
Q4 2016: $888,555Q1 2017: $1MQ2 2017: โˆ’$2MQ3 2017: โˆ’$4MQ4 2017: โˆ’$15MQ4 2018: --Q4 2019: --Q4 2020: --Q4 2021: --Q4 2022: --Q4 2023: --Q4 2024: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2017-$14.5M-1734%
Q3 2017-$4.1M-418%
Q2 2017-$1.6M-$294K

SUPV and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

SUPV Total Shares

Q4 2016: 73MQ1 2017: 73MQ2 2017: 73MQ3 2017: 74MQ4 2017: 91MQ4 2018: 457MQ4 2019: 457MQ4 2020: 457MQ4 2021: 457MQ4 2022: 454MQ4 2023: 443MQ4 2024: 440M
Q4 2016: 73MQ1 2017: 73MQ2 2017: 73MQ3 2017: 74MQ4 2017: 91MQ4 2018: 457MQ4 2019: 457MQ4 2020: 457MQ4 2021: 457MQ4 2022: 454MQ4 2023: 443MQ4 2024: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-3.1M shares
1 year-3.7%-17.1M shares
3 years+500%+366M shares

SUPV has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SUPV Net Leverage

Q2 2017: -0.4xQ3 2017: 0.1xQ4 2017: -0.9xQ4 2020: -5.4xQ4 2024: -3.1x
Q2 2017: -0.4xQ3 2017: 0.1xQ4 2017: -0.9xQ4 2020: -5.4xQ4 2024: -3.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2024-3.1xNet Cash
Q4 2020-5.4xNet Cash
Q4 2017-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 20170.1xVery low
Q2 2017-0.4xNet Cash

SUPV has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SUPV.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

SUPV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic4.0Oversold

SUPV's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SUPV PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSUPVSector medianRelative
PE7.4x13x43% below
PE %316332 pts below

SUPV has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over SUPV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SUPV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.7416% below
20 week MA$8.0129% below
50 week MA$9.1938% below
100 week MA$10.646% below
200 week MA$7.6726% below

SUPV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 26% below its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over SUPV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SUPV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.94$2.01-49%
2021$2.01$2.010%
2022$2.01$2.16+7.5%
2023$2.16$4.06+88%
2024$4.06$15.5+282%
2025$15.5$12.2-22%
2026 YTD$12.2$5.68-53%

SUPV's yearly returns have swung widely, from +282% in 2024 to โˆ’49% in 2020. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key