MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over STBA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
STBA
S&T Bancorp, Inc.
STBA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
STBA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
STBA's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like STBA.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
STBA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.8x | $34.56 | -32% |
| Fair | 11x | $44.15 | -13% |
| Forward | 12x | $50.81 | — |
| Current | 13x | $50.81 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $53.27 | +4.9% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STBA has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over STBA on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
STBA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect STBA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over STBA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
STBA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.17 | +6.1% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.93 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.75 | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.56 | +2.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.49 | +2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.47 | -1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.41 | -3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.47 | -1.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.41 | -8.8% |
STBA earned $3.93 per share over the past year, up 13% from the year before.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over STBA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
STBA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $107.8M | +4.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $105.2M | +5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $102.1M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $105.3M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $103M | +6.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $100.1M | +3.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $93.8M | -2.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $94.3M | -8.6% |
STBA's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $108M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 45% | +2.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 43% | +3.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 43% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 40% | -3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 43% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 40% | -4.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 44% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 44% | -0.8 points |
STBA has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
STBA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $66.7M | +67% |
| Q2 2026 | $27M | -0.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $41.6M | +54% |
| Q4 2025 | $34.9M | -35% |
| Q3 2025 | $39.9M | +49% |
| Q1 2025 | $27M | -41% |
| Q4 2024 | $53.9M | +40% |
| Q3 2024 | $26.8M | -49% |
STBA has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
STBA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -451K shares |
| 1 year | -7.9% | -3M shares |
| 3 years | -6.9% | -2.6M shares |
| 5 years | -9.2% | -3.6M shares |
| Available history | +2.4% | +836K shares |
STBA has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $47.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $49.7M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
STBA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2020 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2020 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q4 2019 | 3.1x | Elevated |
STBA has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like STBA.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
STBA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 56.2 | Neutral |
STBA's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
STBA PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | STBA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 0.7% below |
| PE % | 78 | 63 | 15 pts above |
STBA has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
STBA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $49.9 | 1.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $50.2 | 1.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $45.9 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $41.8 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $37.5 | 36% above |
STBA has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.
STBA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.2 | $24.4 | -39% |
| 2021 | $24.4 | $31.3 | +28% |
| 2022 | $31.3 | $34.7 | +11% |
| 2023 | $34.7 | $33.4 | -3.6% |
| 2024 | $33.4 | $38.5 | +15% |
| 2025 | $38.5 | $40.3 | +4.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.3 | $50.8 | +26% |
STBA has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.