MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over SSBI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

SSBI

Summit State Bank

41
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential65/ 100

SSBI trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

SSBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

SSBI's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SSBI.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over SSBI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SSBI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.5x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.5x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$2.06-83%
Fair7.8x$2.64-78%
Expensive11x$3.65-70%
Current35x$12.01—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SSBI's PE is in its expensive range at 35x.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

SSBI Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SSBI to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SSBI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SSBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$12.68
Downside-65%$4.25

Calculated from the latest close: $12.01 on Nov 12.

SSBI trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over SSBI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SSBI Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.02Q4 2023: $1.62Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $0.90Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $-0.62Q1 2025: $-0.46Q2 2025: $-0.24Q3 2025: $-0.21Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $0.34
Q3 2023: $2.02Q4 2023: $1.62Q1 2024: $1.21Q2 2024: $0.90Q3 2024: $0.72Q4 2024: $-0.62Q1 2025: $-0.46Q2 2025: $-0.24Q3 2025: $-0.21Q4 2025: $1.01Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $0.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.34+$0.58
Q1 2026$0.89+$1.35
Q4 2025$1.01+$1.63
Q3 2025-$0.21-129%
Q2 2025-$0.24-127%
Q1 2025-$0.46-138%
Q4 2024-$0.62-138%
Q3 2024$0.72-64%

SSBI has returned to profit: it earned $0.34 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over SSBI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SSBI Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $16MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $15M
Q3 2023: $16MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $15M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$15M-3.2%
Q1 2026$15.1M-0.9%
Q4 2025$13M-15%
Q3 2025$15.1M-5.6%
Q2 2025$15.5M+2.1%
Q1 2025$15.2M-1.5%
Q4 2024$15.4M+2.9%
Q3 2024$16M-2.3%

SSBI's revenue is shrinking: $15M last quarter, down 3.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SSBI Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: $643,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$66,000Q3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4M
Q3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: −$1MQ1 2024: $643,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: −$66,000Q3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$4.2M+$4.2M
Q1 2026$3.8M+$7M
Q4 2025$2.6M+58%
Q3 2025$7.2M+215%
Q2 2025-$66K-106%
Q1 2025-$3.2M-596%
Q4 2024$1.7M+$2.7M
Q3 2024$2.3M+$4.7M

SSBI has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over SSBI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SSBI Total Shares

Q3 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7M
Q3 2023: 7MQ4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 7MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+13.3K shares
1 year+0.2%+13.7K shares
3 years+0.7%+47.5K shares
5 years+1%+65.5K shares
Available history+1%+66.1K shares

SSBI has 7M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SSBI Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -4.2xQ4 2023: -3.3xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -3.4xQ3 2024: -10.3xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -12.9xQ2 2026: -33.1x
Q3 2023: -4.2xQ4 2023: -3.3xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -3.4xQ3 2024: -10.3xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -12.9xQ2 2026: -33.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-33.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-12.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.3xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.4xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.3xNet Cash
Q3 2023-4.2xNet Cash

SSBI has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

SSBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.2Neutral
Stochastic13.2Oversold

SSBI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over SSBI on valuation relative to its sector.

SSBI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSSBISector medianRelative
PE35x13x171% above
PE %996336 pts above

SSBI is trading at 35x earnings, a 171% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over SSBI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SSBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.00.1% below
20 week MA$12.64.4% below
50 week MA$12.97% below
100 week MA$11.45.4% above
200 week MA$11.82.1% above

SSBI has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 2.1% above its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over SSBI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SSBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.7$11.4-2.3%
2021$11.4$15.4+35%
2022$15.4$15.3-0.3%
2023$15.3$12.3-20%
2024$12.3$7.59-38%
2025$7.59$11.8+55%
2026 YTD$11.8$12.0+2.2%

SSBI has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 2.2% so far in 2026.

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