MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has a slight edge over SLDE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
SLDE
Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
SLDE offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
SLDE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SLDE's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SLDE.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
SLDE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.2x | $22.84 | -12% |
| Fair | 5.9x | $25.98 | +0.1% |
| Current | 5.9x | $25.96 | — |
| Expensive | 6.5x | $28.68 | +10% |
| Forward | 7.7x | $25.96 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SLDE has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over SLDE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
SLDE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SLDE's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
SLDE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.38 | -23% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.39 | +63% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.09 | +100% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.59 | +88% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.31 | +106% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.69 | +112% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.04 | +70% |
SLDE has the edge over MS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SLDE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $361.1M | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $386.8M | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $389.3M | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $347M | +46% |
| Q3 2025 | $265.7M | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $261.6M | +25% |
| Q1 2025 | $281.6M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $238.5M | +55% |
SLDE has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 45% | -11 points |
| Q2 2026 | 46% | +9.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 48% | +3.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 64% | +22 points |
| Q3 2025 | 55% | +43 points |
| Q2 2025 | 37% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 44% | +7.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 42% | +13 points |
SLDE has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
SLDE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$49.3M | -302% |
| Q1 2026 | $288.8M | +200% |
| Q4 2025 | $421.2M | +167% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.5M | -79% |
| Q1 2025 | $96.2M | -49% |
| Q4 2024 | $157.7M | +2.7% |
| Q3 2024 | $114.7M | +438% |
| Q2 2024 | $83.8M | -35% |
SLDE has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
SLDE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -183K shares |
| 1 year | -9.3% | -13M shares |
| 3 years | -36% | -72.9M shares |
SLDE has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $53.8M |
| Q1 2026 | $137.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
SLDE spent $211M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
SLDE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
SLDE has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
SLDE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 71.2 | Neutral |
SLDE's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
SLDE PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SLDE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.9x | 13x | 55% below |
| PE % | 50 | 11 | 39 pts above |
SLDE has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
SLDE has stronger trend alignment. MS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus SLDE above 3 of 3.
SLDE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $25.9 | 0.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $23.7 | 9.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $20.2 | 29% above |
SLDE is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 29% above its 50-week average.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.
SLDE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $23.3 | $19.2 | -18% |
| 2026 YTD | $19.2 | $26.0 | +35% |
SLDE has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.