MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

SIEB

Siebert Financial Corp.

There isn't enough reported data to score SIEB yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

SIEB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
N/A
N/A

SIEB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SIEB.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

SIEB PE Valuation

SIEB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

SIEB Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SIEB to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and SIEB's risk to reward.

SIEB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.81 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and SIEB's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over SIEB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SIEB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.17Q4 2023: $0.21Q1 2024: $0.20Q2 2024: $0.23Q3 2024: $0.26Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.46Q2 2025: $0.24Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $-0.03
Q3 2023: $0.17Q4 2023: $0.21Q1 2024: $0.20Q2 2024: $0.23Q3 2024: $0.26Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.46Q2 2025: $0.24Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $-0.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.03-113%
Q1 2026-$0.14-130%
Q4 2025$0.13-61%
Q3 2025$0.18-31%
Q2 2025$0.24+4.3%
Q1 2025$0.46+130%
Q4 2024$0.33+57%
Q3 2024$0.26+53%

SIEB has swung to a loss: it lost $0.03 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

SIEB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $31M
Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $29MQ2 2025: $15MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $31M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$31.2M+110%
Q1 2026$23.5M-19%
Q4 2025$23.6M+18%
Q3 2025$26.8M+19%
Q2 2025$14.9M-29%
Q1 2025$28.9M+41%
Q4 2024$20M+1.6%
Q3 2024$22.6M+25%

SIEB's revenue is growing: $31M last quarter, up 110% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SIEB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$20MQ4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: โˆ’$63MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: โˆ’$35MQ2 2025: $570,000Q3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $295,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$26MQ2 2026: โˆ’$3M
Q3 2023: โˆ’$20MQ4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: โˆ’$63MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: โˆ’$35MQ2 2025: $570,000Q3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $295,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$26MQ2 2026: โˆ’$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$2.7M-566%
Q1 2026-$26.2M+$8.4M
Q4 2025$295K-100%
Q3 2025$43.3M+734%
Q2 2025$570K-87%
Q1 2025-$34.5M+$28.3M
Q4 2024$63M+63%
Q3 2024$5.2M+$24.7M

SIEB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over SIEB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SIEB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41M
Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+174K shares
1 year+1.4%+577K shares
3 years+13%+4.6M shares
5 years+31%+9.7M shares
Available history+51%+13.8M shares

SIEB has 41M diluted shares, up 1.4% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SIEB Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.1xQ4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ2 2026: -39.9x
Q3 2023: -0.1xQ4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: -0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -1.5xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.9xQ3 2025: -1.3xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ2 2026: -39.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-39.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.0xNet Cash

SIEB has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

SIEB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

SIEB's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SIEB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSIEBSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

SIEB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over SIEB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SIEB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.999% below
20 week MA$1.999% below
50 week MA$2.2218% below
100 week MA$2.7835% below
200 week MA$2.4225% below

SIEB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 25% below its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over SIEB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SIEB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.53$4.47-48%
2021$4.47$2.23-50%
2022$2.23$1.37-39%
2023$1.37$1.68+23%
2024$1.68$3.04+81%
2025$3.04$3.67+21%
2026 YTD$3.67$1.81-51%

SIEB has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 51% so far in 2026.

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