MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

SHBI

Shore Bancshares, Inc.

63
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

SHBI has a slight edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

SHBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

SHBI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SHBI.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

SHBI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.9x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$17.81-22%
Forward10x$22.75—
Current11x$22.75—
Fair12x$24.66+8.4%
Expensive17x$35.08+54%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHBI has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

SHBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SHBI, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SHBI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SHBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$28.78
Downside-14%$19.62

Calculated from the latest close: $22.75 on Nov 12.

SHBI trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

SHBI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.42Q1 2024: $0.35Q2 2024: $0.49Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.32Q1 2025: $1.48Q2 2025: $1.60Q3 2025: $1.69Q4 2025: $1.78Q1 2026: $1.88Q2 2026: $1.98Q3 2026: $2.05Forward: $2.25
Q4 2023: $0.42Q1 2024: $0.35Q2 2024: $0.49Q3 2024: $1.12Q4 2024: $1.32Q1 2025: $1.48Q2 2025: $1.60Q3 2025: $1.69Q4 2025: $1.78Q1 2026: $1.88Q2 2026: $1.98Q3 2026: $2.05Forward: $2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.25+9.9%
Q3 2026$2.05+21%
Q2 2026$1.98+24%
Q1 2026$1.88+27%
Q4 2025$1.78+35%
Q3 2025$1.69+51%
Q2 2025$1.60+227%
Q1 2025$1.48+323%
Q4 2024$1.32+214%

SHBI has the edge over MS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over SHBI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SHBI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $56MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $62MQ3 2026: $63M
Q4 2023: $49MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $51MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $53MQ1 2025: $53MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $56MQ4 2025: $59MQ1 2026: $60MQ2 2026: $62MQ3 2026: $63M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$62.8M+11%
Q2 2026$61.7M+9.2%
Q1 2026$59.8M+13%
Q4 2025$59.1M+12%
Q3 2025$56.4M+11%
Q2 2025$56.6M+12%
Q1 2025$53M+11%
Q4 2024$52.9M+7.7%

SHBI's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $63M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SHBI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $614,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: $614,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $31MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $30MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$35.4M-16%
Q2 2026$7M+$16.2M
Q1 2026$30.5M+63%
Q4 2025$7.8M-75%
Q3 2025$41.9M+396%
Q2 2025-$9.2M-738%
Q1 2025$18.8M+2955%
Q4 2024$31.2M-7.7%

SHBI has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over SHBI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SHBI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 33MQ3 2025: 33MQ4 2025: 33MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-61.3K shares
1 year-0.1%-18.4K shares
3 years+0.9%+288K shares

SHBI has 33M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SHBI Net Leverage

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

SHBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.6Neutral
Stochastic29.8Neutral

SHBI's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 30 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SHBI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSHBISector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %396324 pts below

SHBI has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

SHBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.70.4% above
20 week MA$23.11.7% below
50 week MA$20.89.2% above
100 week MA$18.126% above
200 week MA$15.547% above

SHBI has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

SHBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.3$14.6-16%
2021$14.6$20.3+39%
2022$20.3$17.5-14%
2023$17.5$14.3-18%
2024$14.3$15.9+11%
2025$15.9$17.9+13%
2026 YTD$17.9$22.8+27%

SHBI has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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