MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SEZL
Sezzle Inc.
SEZL has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
SEZL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SEZL's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SEZL.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
SEZL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 20x | $102 | -34% |
| Forward | 23x | $155 | — |
| Fair | 26x | $137 | -11% |
| Current | 30x | $155 | — |
| Expensive | 39x | $201 | +30% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SEZL has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
SEZL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SEZL, with profitability improving.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
SEZL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.68 | +28% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.21 | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.58 | +57% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.19 | +42% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.72 | +70% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.24 | +106% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.92 | +150% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.96 | +679% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.19 | +3.3% |
SEZL has the edge over MS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SEZL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $166.5M | +43% |
| Q2 2026 | $149.7M | +52% |
| Q1 2026 | $135.5M | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $129.9M | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $116.8M | +67% |
| Q2 2025 | $98.7M | +76% |
| Q1 2025 | $104.9M | +123% |
| Q4 2024 | $98.2M | +101% |
SEZL has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 39% | +8.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 37% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 51% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 37% | +6.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 48% | +18 points |
| Q4 2024 | 31% | +16 points |
SEZL has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
SEZL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $86.5M | +163% |
| Q2 2026 | $51.8M | +$88.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $88.6M | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $70.6M | +7426% |
| Q3 2025 | $32.9M | +478% |
| Q2 2025 | -$36.7M | -$32.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $58.8M | +52% |
| Q4 2024 | $937.7K | +$16M |
SEZL has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
SEZL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +29K shares |
| 1 year | -2.6% | -922K shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +375K shares |
SEZL has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.6M |
| Q2 2026 | $7.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $25.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $30M |
| Q3 2025 | $4M |
| Q2 2025 | $28.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5M |
SEZL spent $69M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 92% from the year before.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
SEZL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
SEZL has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
SEZL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 53.9 | Neutral |
SEZL's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS has the edge over SEZL on valuation relative to its sector.
SEZL PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SEZL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30x | 13x | 128% above |
| PE % | 68 | 45 | 23 pts above |
SEZL is trading at 30x earnings, a 128% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
SEZL has stronger trend alignment. MS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus SEZL above 4 of 4.
SEZL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $130.8 | 18% above |
| 20 week MA | $136.9 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $105.3 | 47% above |
| 100 week MA | $91.7 | 69% above |
SEZL is in an uptrend: it's above all four of its weekly moving averages, and 69% above its 100-week average.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.
SEZL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $1.23 | $3.42 | +178% |
| 2024 | $3.42 | $44.2 | +1192% |
| 2025 | $44.2 | $70.5 | +60% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.5 | $154.7 | +119% |
SEZL has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.