MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SCHW

The Charles Schwab Corporation

75
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential8/ 100

SCHW has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

SCHW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

SCHW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SCHW.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

SCHW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.4x19x28x38x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$91.72—
Cheap16x$95.94+4.6%
Current16x$91.72—
Fair24x$140+52%
Expensive30x$178+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SCHW has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

SCHW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SCHW, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS trails SCHW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SCHW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$123.94
Downside-8%$84.39

Calculated from the latest close: $91.72 on Nov 12.

SCHW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

SCHW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.54Q1 2024: $2.39Q2 2024: $2.41Q3 2024: $2.56Q4 2024: $2.99Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.72Q3 2025: $4.27Q4 2025: $4.65Q1 2026: $5.03Q2 2026: $5.49Q3 2026: $5.85Forward: $7.48
Q4 2023: $2.54Q1 2024: $2.39Q2 2024: $2.41Q3 2024: $2.56Q4 2024: $2.99Q1 2025: $3.30Q2 2025: $3.72Q3 2025: $4.27Q4 2025: $4.65Q1 2026: $5.03Q2 2026: $5.49Q3 2026: $5.85Forward: $7.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.48+28%
Q3 2026$5.85+37%
Q2 2026$5.49+48%
Q1 2026$5.03+52%
Q4 2025$4.65+56%
Q3 2025$4.27+67%
Q2 2025$3.72+54%
Q1 2025$3.30+38%
Q4 2024$2.99+18%

SCHW has the edge over MS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

SCHW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $5.6BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6.1BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $6.5BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.2B
Q4 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.8BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $5.6BQ2 2025: $5.9BQ3 2025: $6.1BQ4 2025: $6.3BQ1 2026: $6.5BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.2B+17%
Q2 2026$7.1B+21%
Q1 2026$6.5B+16%
Q4 2025$6.3B+19%
Q3 2025$6.1B+27%
Q2 2025$5.9B+25%
Q1 2025$5.6B+18%
Q4 2024$5.3B+20%

SCHW has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SCHW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $20BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: $19BQ4 2024: −$11.1BQ1 2025: $6.2BQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $393MQ4 2025: −$921MQ1 2026: $7.2BQ2 2026: $4.1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $20BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: $19BQ4 2024: −$11.1BQ1 2025: $6.2BQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $393MQ4 2025: −$921MQ1 2026: $7.2BQ2 2026: $4.1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+231%
Q2 2026$4.1B+35%
Q1 2026$7.2B+15%
Q4 2025-$921M+$10.2B
Q3 2025$393M-98%
Q2 2025$3B+$7.4B
Q1 2025$6.2B+$7.7B
Q4 2024-$11.1B-155%

SCHW has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

SCHW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 1.8BQ2 2024: 1.8BQ3 2024: 1.8BQ4 2024: 1.8BQ1 2025: 1.8BQ2 2025: 1.8BQ3 2025: 1.8BQ4 2025: 1.8BQ1 2026: 1.8BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
Q4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 1.8BQ2 2024: 1.8BQ3 2024: 1.8BQ4 2024: 1.8BQ1 2025: 1.8BQ2 2025: 1.8BQ3 2025: 1.8BQ4 2025: 1.8BQ1 2026: 1.8BQ2 2026: 1.7BQ3 2026: 1.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-6M shares
1 year-4.3%-78M shares
3 years-5.1%-94M shares
5 years-8.7%-165M shares
Available history+34%+440M shares

SCHW has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SCHW Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2020-5.4xNet Cash
Q1 2020-12.0xNet Cash
Q4 2019-4.2xNet Cash

SCHW has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SCHW.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

SCHW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.9Neutral
Stochastic11.2Oversold

SCHW's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over SCHW on valuation relative to its sector.

SCHW PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSCHWSector medianRelative
PE16x13x20% above
PE %146349 pts below

SCHW is trading at 16x earnings, a 20% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over SCHW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SCHW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$93.31.7% below
20 week MA$100.99.1% below
50 week MA$97.35.7% below
100 week MA$92.00.3% below
200 week MA$78.517% above

SCHW has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 17% above its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over SCHW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SCHW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$48.3$52.1+7.7%
2021$52.1$85.1+64%
2022$85.1$81.8-3.9%
2023$81.8$68.8-16%
2024$68.8$74.7+8.6%
2025$74.7$101.9+36%
2026 YTD$101.9$91.7-10%

SCHW has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key