MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over SBFG overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

SBFG

SB Financial Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

SBFG trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

SBFG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

SBFG's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SBFG.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

SBFG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.2x11x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.5x$19.93-32%
Fair9.2x$24.55-16%
Expensive11x$30.03+2.8%
Current11x$29.21—
Forward11x$29.21—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SBFG has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over SBFG on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

SBFG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect SBFG's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SBFG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SBFG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$34.60
Downside-19%$23.78

Calculated from the latest close: $29.21 on Nov 12.

SBFG trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over SBFG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBFG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.75Q1 2024: $1.75Q2 2024: $1.78Q3 2024: $1.74Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $1.70Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $2.12Q4 2025: $2.19Q1 2026: $2.55Q2 2026: $2.67Q3 2026: $2.66Forward: $2.62
Q4 2023: $1.75Q1 2024: $1.75Q2 2024: $1.78Q3 2024: $1.74Q4 2024: $1.72Q1 2025: $1.70Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $2.12Q4 2025: $2.19Q1 2026: $2.55Q2 2026: $2.67Q3 2026: $2.66Forward: $2.62
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.62-1.5%
Q3 2026$2.66+25%
Q2 2026$2.67+46%
Q1 2026$2.55+50%
Q4 2025$2.19+27%
Q3 2025$2.12+22%
Q2 2025$1.83+2.8%
Q1 2025$1.70-2.9%
Q4 2024$1.72-1.7%

SBFG earned $2.66 per share over the past year, up 25% from the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over SBFG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SBFG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $18M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $14MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: $18M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.1M+9%
Q2 2026$17.9M+4.5%
Q1 2026$17.4M+13%
Q4 2025$16.4M+6.3%
Q3 2025$16.6M+16%
Q2 2025$17.2M+22%
Q1 2025$15.4M+17%
Q4 2024$15.5M+2.2%

SBFG's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $18M last quarter, up 9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

SBFG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $149,000Q2 2024: −$833,000Q3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $149,000Q2 2024: −$833,000Q3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.5M-31%
Q2 2026$6.5M+$10.6M
Q1 2026-$3.2M-156%
Q4 2025$7.6M+33%
Q3 2025$12.2M+279%
Q2 2025-$4.2M-$3.3M
Q1 2025$5.8M+3779%
Q4 2024$5.7M-14%

SBFG has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

SBFG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
Q4 2023: 7MQ1 2024: 7MQ2 2024: 7MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 7MQ1 2025: 7MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6MQ3 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-2K shares
1 year-1.5%-93K shares
3 years-9.6%-660K shares
5 years-19%-1.5M shares
Available history-24%-1.9M shares

SBFG has 6M diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago, with $2M in buybacks over the past year.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS has the edge over SBFG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SBFG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 31.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 18.0xQ2 2025: 18.2xQ3 2025: 15.5xQ4 2025: 27.7xQ1 2026: 12.3xQ2 2026: 11.1xQ3 2026: 13.1x
Q4 2023: 31.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 18.0xQ2 2025: 18.2xQ3 2025: 15.5xQ4 2025: 27.7xQ1 2026: 12.3xQ2 2026: 11.1xQ3 2026: 13.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202613.1xHigh
Q2 202611.1xHigh
Q1 202612.3xHigh
Q4 202527.7xHigh
Q3 202515.5xHigh
Q2 202518.2xHigh
Q1 202518.0xHigh
Q4 20240.3xVery low

SBFG's net debt is about 13 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 15 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SBFG.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

SBFG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.5Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

SBFG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SBFG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricSBFGSector medianRelative
PE11x13x16% below
PE %796316 pts above

SBFG has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

SBFG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$29.61.3% below
20 week MA$28.23.5% above
50 week MA$24.420% above
100 week MA$22.331% above
200 week MA$18.756% above

SBFG has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

SBFG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.7$17.1-8.4%
2021$17.1$18.1+5.6%
2022$18.1$16.5-8.6%
2023$16.5$15.4-7%
2024$15.4$21.5+40%
2025$21.5$21.9+1.9%
2026 YTD$21.9$29.2+33%

SBFG has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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