MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

RWTQ

Redwood Trust, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score RWTQ yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

RWTQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

RWTQ's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RWTQ.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

RWTQ PE Valuation

RWTQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

RWTQ Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for RWTQ to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and RWTQ's risk to reward.

RWTQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $20.93 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and RWTQ's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over RWTQ on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RWTQ Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.56Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $-0.65Q3 2025: $-0.82Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.38
Q2 2024: $0.18Q3 2024: $0.56Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.21Q2 2025: $-0.65Q3 2025: $-0.82Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.80Q2 2026: $-0.07Q3 2026: $-0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.38+$0.44
Q2 2026-$0.07+$0.58
Q1 2026-$0.80-481%
Q4 2025-$0.63-297%
Q3 2025-$0.82-246%
Q2 2025-$0.65-461%
Q1 2022$1.89-51%
Q4 2019$1.48+16%

RWTQ is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.38 per share over the past year, against $0.82 at its worst in late 2025.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over RWTQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RWTQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $41M
Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: $75MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $41M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$40.6M+171%
Q2 2026$32.1M+132%
Q1 2026$34.7M+24%
Q4 2025$25.9M-6.1%
Q3 2025$15M-41%
Q2 2025$13.8M-79%
Q1 2025$27.9M-63%
Q4 2024$27.6M-57%

RWTQ's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $41M last quarter, up 171% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS has the edge over RWTQ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RWTQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.1BQ1 2024: −$954MQ2 2024: −$2BQ3 2024: −$2.1BQ4 2024: −$854MQ1 2025: −$2BQ2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: −$2.7BQ4 2025: −$3.4BQ1 2026: −$4.5BQ2 2026: −$3.7BQ3 2026: −$3.3B
Q4 2023: −$1.1BQ1 2024: −$954MQ2 2024: −$2BQ3 2024: −$2.1BQ4 2024: −$854MQ1 2025: −$2BQ2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: −$2.7BQ4 2025: −$3.4BQ1 2026: −$4.5BQ2 2026: −$3.7BQ3 2026: −$3.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.3B-$642.6M
Q2 2026-$3.7B-$1.6B
Q1 2026-$4.5B-$2.6B
Q4 2025-$3.4B-$2.5B
Q3 2025-$2.7B-$579.8M
Q2 2025-$2.1B-$147.2M
Q1 2025-$2B-$998.3M
Q4 2024-$854M+$294.4M

RWTQ's free cash flow was −$14.9B over the past year, against −$7.6B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWTQ.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

RWTQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 116MQ1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 132MQ3 2024: 132MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 130MQ1 2026: 125MQ2 2026: 125MQ3 2026: 124M
Q4 2023: 116MQ1 2024: 132MQ2 2024: 132MQ3 2024: 132MQ4 2024: 132MQ1 2025: 133MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 130MQ1 2026: 125MQ2 2026: 125MQ3 2026: 124M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-1.2M shares
1 year-3.8%-4.9M shares
3 years+7.5%+8.7M shares
5 years-13%-17.8M shares
Available history+13%+14.1M shares

RWTQ has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS has the edge over RWTQ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RWTQ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 207.3xQ1 2024: 65.0xQ2 2024: 194.5xQ3 2024: 118.1xQ4 2024: 153.7xQ1 2025: 187.7xQ2 2026: 797.9x
Q4 2023: 207.3xQ1 2024: 65.0xQ2 2024: 194.5xQ3 2024: 118.1xQ4 2024: 153.7xQ1 2025: 187.7xQ2 2026: 797.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026797.9xHigh
Q1 2025187.7xHigh
Q4 2024153.7xHigh
Q3 2024118.1xHigh
Q2 2024194.5xHigh
Q1 202465.0xHigh
Q4 2023207.3xHigh
Q1 202211.7xHigh

RWTQ's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from more than 20 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RWTQ.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

RWTQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic29.4Neutral

RWTQ's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

RWTQ PE vs Financial Services Sector

RWTQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has stronger trend alignment. MS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus RWTQ above 1 of 3.

RWTQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.61.8% above
20 week MA$22.56.8% below
50 week MA$22.98.7% below

RWTQ has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 8.7% below its 50-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over RWTQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RWTQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$24.9$25.8+3.5%
2026 YTD$25.8$20.9-19%

RWTQ has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 19% so far in 2026.

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