MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over RRBI overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
RRBI
Red River Bancshares, Inc.
RRBI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
RRBI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
RRBI's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RRBI.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
RRBI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 10x | $72.53 | -30% |
| Fair | 12x | $83.70 | -20% |
| Expensive | 13x | $96.62 | -7.2% |
| Current | 14x | $104 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $104 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RRBI has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
RRBI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RRBI, with profitability improving.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over RRBI on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
RRBI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.70 | +6.7% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.22 | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.95 | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.68 | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.39 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.03 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.67 | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.32 | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.96 | +2.1% |
RRBI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.22 over the past year, up 20% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over RRBI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RRBI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $34.8M | +9.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $33.7M | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $32.9M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $33.2M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $31.9M | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $30.5M | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $29.9M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $28.7M | +8.3% |
RRBI's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $35M last quarter, up 9.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 45% | +3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 42% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 42% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 43% | +4.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 40% | +1.7 points |
RRBI has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
RRBI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.8M | -13% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1M | +214% |
| Q1 2026 | $15M | +9.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.2M | +472% |
| Q3 2025 | $15.8M | -6.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.5M | +145% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.7M | +2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.6M | -77% |
RRBI has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over RRBI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RRBI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -3.3K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -29K shares |
| 3 years | -7.9% | -568K shares |
RRBI has 7M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $2.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $3M |
| Q2 2024 | $764,000 |
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
RRBI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.6x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -5.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -6.0x | Net Cash |
RRBI has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
RRBI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 58.9 | Neutral |
RRBI's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
RRBI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | RRBI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 11% above |
| PE % | 93 | 63 | 30 pts above |
RRBI has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
RRBI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $102.5 | 1.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $101.1 | 3% above |
| 50 week MA | $91.9 | 13% above |
| 100 week MA | $75.3 | 38% above |
| 200 week MA | $62.8 | 66% above |
RRBI has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.
RRBI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $54.7 | $48.8 | -11% |
| 2021 | $48.8 | $54.7 | +12% |
| 2022 | $54.7 | $50.5 | -7.6% |
| 2023 | $50.5 | $56.1 | +11% |
| 2024 | $56.1 | $54.5 | -2.9% |
| 2025 | $54.5 | $73.4 | +35% |
| 2026 YTD | $73.4 | $104.1 | +42% |
RRBI has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.