MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RGA

Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated

68
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

RGA has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

RGA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
N/A
N/A

RGA's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RGA.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

RGA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.7x19x29x39x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE9.7x19x29x39x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.1x$274—
Cheap11x$272-0.6%
Current11x$274—
Fair14x$353+29%
Expensive18x$454+66%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RGA has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

RGA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RGA, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS trails RGA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RGA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$337.39
Downside-9%$249.78

Calculated from the latest close: $273.74 on Nov 12.

RGA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over RGA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RGA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $13.43Q1 2024: $12.87Q2 2024: $12.85Q3 2024: $10.89Q4 2024: $10.74Q1 2025: $11.85Q2 2025: $11.52Q3 2025: $13.00Q4 2025: $17.75Q1 2026: $18.46Q2 2026: $22.77Q3 2026: $25.88Forward: $30.01
Q4 2023: $13.43Q1 2024: $12.87Q2 2024: $12.85Q3 2024: $10.89Q4 2024: $10.74Q1 2025: $11.85Q2 2025: $11.52Q3 2025: $13.00Q4 2025: $17.75Q1 2026: $18.46Q2 2026: $22.77Q3 2026: $25.88Forward: $30.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$30.01+16%
Q3 2026$25.88+99%
Q2 2026$22.77+98%
Q1 2026$18.46+56%
Q4 2025$17.75+65%
Q3 2025$13.00+19%
Q2 2025$11.52-10%
Q1 2025$11.85-7.9%
Q4 2024$10.74-20%

RGA earned $25.88 per share over the past year, up 99% from the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

RGA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $6.3BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.7BQ4 2024: $5.2BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.6BQ3 2025: $6.2BQ4 2025: $6.6BQ1 2026: $6.5BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $7.5B
Q4 2023: $5BQ1 2024: $6.3BQ2 2024: $4.9BQ3 2024: $5.7BQ4 2024: $5.2BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.6BQ3 2025: $6.2BQ4 2025: $6.6BQ1 2026: $6.5BQ2 2026: $6.6BQ3 2026: $7.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.6B+22%
Q2 2026$6.6B+19%
Q1 2026$6.5B+23%
Q4 2025$6.6B+27%
Q3 2025$6.2B+9.8%
Q2 2025$5.6B+15%
Q1 2025$5.3B-17%
Q4 2024$5.2B+4.7%

RGA's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $7.5B last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

RGA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6.9BQ1 2024: −$5.7BQ2 2024: −$967MQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: $17.1BQ1 2025: −$1.4BQ2 2025: −$820MQ3 2025: −$990MQ4 2025: $7.3BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: −$484MQ3 2026: −$1.4B
Q4 2023: $6.9BQ1 2024: −$5.7BQ2 2024: −$967MQ3 2024: −$1.1BQ4 2024: $17.1BQ1 2025: −$1.4BQ2 2025: −$820MQ3 2025: −$990MQ4 2025: $7.3BQ1 2026: −$2.9BQ2 2026: −$484MQ3 2026: −$1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.4B-$365M
Q2 2026-$484M+$336M
Q1 2026-$2.9B-$1.4B
Q4 2025$7.3B-57%
Q3 2025-$990M+$77M
Q2 2025-$820M+$147M
Q1 2025-$1.4B+$4.3B
Q4 2024$17.1B+150%

RGA has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

RGA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 66M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-1.5%-1M shares
3 years-1.5%-1M shares
5 years-2.9%-2M shares
Available history+3.3%+2.1M shares

RGA has 66M diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago, with $289M in buybacks over the past year.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

RGA Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20210.5xVery low
Q4 20200.3xVery low
Q3 20200.4xVery low
Q2 2020-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 20200.2xVery low
Q4 20191.3xHealthy

RGA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RGA.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

RGA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.2Overbought
Stochastic81.8Overbought

RGA's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

RGA PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRGASector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %176346 pts below

RGA has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

RGA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$260.65% above
20 week MA$249.49.8% above
50 week MA$224.022% above
100 week MA$210.230% above
200 week MA$191.943% above

RGA has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

RGA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$162.0$113.6-30%
2021$113.6$109.4-3.6%
2022$109.4$142.7+30%
2023$142.7$161.8+13%
2024$161.8$211.4+31%
2025$211.4$205.6-2.8%
2026 YTD$205.6$273.7+33%

RGA has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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