MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over RBCAA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
RBCAA
Republic Bancorp, Inc.
RBCAA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
RBCAA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
RBCAA's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RBCAA.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
RBCAA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.2x | $59.86 | -34% |
| Fair | 11x | $72.18 | -21% |
| Expensive | 13x | $82.19 | -9.9% |
| Forward | 13x | $91.23 | — |
| Current | 14x | $91.23 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RBCAA has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
RBCAA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RBCAA, with profitability improving.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over RBCAA on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
RBCAA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.16 | +9.9% |
| Q3 2026 | $6.51 | +1.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.45 | +2.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.39 | +7% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.63 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.44 | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.28 | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.97 | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.14 | +13% |
RBCAA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $6.51 over the past year, up 1.1% from the year before, and higher year over year for 22 quarters in a row.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over RBCAA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RBCAA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $103.9M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $101.3M | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $120.4M | -11% |
| Q4 2025 | $94.3M | +5.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $93.5M | +6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $93.8M | +8% |
| Q1 2025 | $135.8M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $89.5M | +9.3% |
RBCAA's revenue is recovering but still below its 2025 peak: $104M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 38% | -2.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 42% | -1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +3.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 40% | +2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 43% | +6.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | -3 points |
RBCAA has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
RBCAA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $40.9M | +33% |
| Q2 2026 | -$120K | -102% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1M | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $33.6M | +49% |
| Q3 2025 | $30.8M | -38% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2M | +205% |
| Q1 2025 | $91.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.6M | +9.4% |
RBCAA has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over RBCAA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RBCAA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +24K shares |
| 1 year | +0.5% | +97K shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +114K shares |
| 5 years | -3.4% | -703K shares |
| Available history | -5.9% | -1.2M shares |
RBCAA has 20M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q4 2023 | $4.2M |
| Q3 2023 | $9.4M |
| Q4 2022 | $413,000 |
| Q3 2022 | $3.3M |
| Q4 2021 | $12.6M |
| Q3 2021 | $19.7M |
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
RBCAA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
RBCAA has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
RBCAA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.6 | Oversold |
RBCAA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
RBCAA PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | RBCAA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 7.6% above |
| PE % | 93 | 63 | 30 pts above |
RBCAA has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
RBCAA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $92.0 | 0.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $93.6 | 2.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $82.1 | 11% above |
| 100 week MA | $75.7 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $63.6 | 43% above |
RBCAA has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 43% above its 200-week average.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.
RBCAA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $46.6 | $36.4 | -22% |
| 2021 | $36.4 | $51.5 | +42% |
| 2022 | $51.5 | $41.4 | -20% |
| 2023 | $41.4 | $55.2 | +33% |
| 2024 | $55.2 | $70.7 | +28% |
| 2025 | $70.7 | $70.0 | -0.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.0 | $91.2 | +30% |
RBCAA has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.