MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

RBB

RBB Bancorp

62
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation47/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

RBB's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 16 points to 43% and earnings per share grew 72%. At 10x earnings, it's trading right at its usual valuation. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

RBB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

RBB's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RBB.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over RBB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RBB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.1x8.2x12x16x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$17.51-33%
Fair9.8x$25.39-2.5%
Current10x$26.04—
Forward11x$26.04—
Expensive12x$31.59+21%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RBB's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x, in its expensive range.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over RBB on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

RBB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RBB's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RBB, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RBB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$32.50
Downside-14%$22.34

Calculated from the latest close: $26.04 on Nov 12.

RBB trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over RBB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RBB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.09Q2 2024: $1.90Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.47Q1 2025: $1.17Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.83Q1 2026: $2.36Q2 2026: $2.43Q3 2026: $2.58Forward: $2.31
Q4 2023: $2.24Q1 2024: $2.09Q2 2024: $1.90Q3 2024: $1.84Q4 2024: $1.47Q1 2025: $1.17Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.83Q1 2026: $2.36Q2 2026: $2.43Q3 2026: $2.58Forward: $2.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.31-10%
Q3 2026$2.58+72%
Q2 2026$2.43+87%
Q1 2026$2.36+102%
Q4 2025$1.83+24%
Q3 2025$1.50-18%
Q2 2025$1.30-32%
Q1 2025$1.17-44%
Q4 2024$1.47-34%

RBB earned $2.58 per share over the past year, up 72% from the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over RBB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RBB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $37M
Q4 2023: $33MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $36MQ3 2025: $33MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $33MQ3 2026: $37M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$36.9M+13%
Q2 2026$33.1M-7.6%
Q1 2026$34.8M+22%
Q4 2025$32.3M+13%
Q3 2025$32.6M+7.5%
Q2 2025$35.8M+30%
Q1 2025$28.5M+0.7%
Q4 2024$28.7M-13%

RBB's revenue is growing: $37M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

RBB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: −$820,000
Q4 2023: −$9MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: $22MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: −$820,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$820K-147%
Q2 2026$22.3M+3.4%
Q1 2026$19.4M+156%
Q4 2025$11.7M-32%
Q3 2025$1.8M-93%
Q2 2025$21.6M+87%
Q1 2025$7.6M+62%
Q4 2024$17.2M+$26.1M

RBB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

RBB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
Q4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 17MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17MQ3 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-114K shares
1 year-1.6%-274K shares
3 years-10%-2M shares
5 years-14%-2.8M shares
Available history-17%-3.4M shares

RBB has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

RBB Net Leverage

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

RBB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.1Neutral
Stochastic19.1Oversold

RBB's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

RBB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricRBBSector medianRelative
PE10x13x23% below
PE %526311 pts below

RBB has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

RBB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.00.3% above
20 week MA$26.51.6% below
50 week MA$24.18.2% above
100 week MA$21.123% above
200 week MA$19.335% above

RBB has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

RBB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.2$15.4-27%
2021$15.4$25.2+64%
2022$25.2$21.1-16%
2023$21.1$19.0-9.8%
2024$19.0$20.8+9.2%
2025$20.8$21.1+1.4%
2026 YTD$21.1$26.0+24%

RBB has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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