MS
Morgan Stanley
MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.
RAND
Rand Capital Corporation
There isn't enough reported data to score RAND yet.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
RAND Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
RAND's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like RAND.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over RAND in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
RAND PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.4x | $3.55 | -63% |
| Fair | 5.5x | $5.69 | -41% |
| Current | 9.4x | $9.65 | — |
| Expensive | 11x | $11.63 | +21% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RAND's PE is 9.4x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
RAND Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for RAND to show an outlook.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over RAND on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RAND Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.03 | +$5.23 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.04 | +$2.39 |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.10 | -198% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.69 | -179% |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.20 | -184% |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.43 | -158% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.17 | +42% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.42 | +35% |
RAND has returned to profit: it earned $1.03 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus down 35% for RAND.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RAND Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | $868.6K | -35% |
| Q3 2022 | $1.4M | -46% |
| Q3 2021 | $2.6M | +358% |
| Q2 2021 | $4.8M | +540% |
| Q1 2021 | $1.3M | -49% |
RAND's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $868,583 last quarter, down 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | 64% | +9.1 points |
| Q3 2022 | 82% | -7.3 points |
| Q4 2021 | 55% | N/A |
| Q3 2021 | 89% | +43 points |
| Q2 2021 | 93% | +37 points |
| Q1 2021 | 614% | +529 points |
| Q3 2020 | 46% | N/A |
| Q2 2020 | 56% | N/A |
RAND's operating margin was 64% last quarter, down 28 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS has the edge over RAND on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RAND Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $754.5K | -87% |
| Q2 2026 | -$3.6M | -1147% |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.5M | -146% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.8M | -453% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.9M | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $347.7K | -92% |
| Q1 2025 | $7.7M | +$12.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $782.1K | +$1.8M |
RAND's free cash flow was −$9M over the past year, against $15M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RAND.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over RAND on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RAND Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | +15% | +389K shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +388K shares |
| Available history | +82% | +1.3M shares |
RAND has 3M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | $20,771 |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
RAND Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2022 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2021 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2021 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2021 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2021 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
RAND has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like RAND.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
RAND Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.8 | Neutral |
RAND's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
RAND PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | RAND | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.4x | 13x | 28% below |
| PE % | 79 | 63 | 16 pts above |
RAND has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over RAND on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RAND Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.80 | 1.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 4.7% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.9 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.3 | 33% below |
| 200 week MA | $14.4 | 33% below |
RAND is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over RAND on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RAND Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.1 | $15.6 | -38% |
| 2021 | $15.6 | $16.8 | +7.8% |
| 2022 | $16.8 | $14.0 | -17% |
| 2023 | $14.0 | $13.0 | -6.9% |
| 2024 | $13.0 | $18.2 | +40% |
| 2025 | $18.2 | $11.2 | -39% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.2 | $9.65 | -14% |
RAND has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 14% so far in 2026.