MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

PSEC

Prospect Capital Corporation

There isn't enough reported data to score PSEC yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

PSEC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Stable
N/A
N/A

PSEC's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PSEC.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

PSEC PE Valuation

PSEC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over PSEC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PSEC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect PSEC's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and PSEC's risk to reward.

PSEC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.41 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and PSEC's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 29% for MS versus PSEC down 505%.

PSEC Earnings Per Share

Q2 2024: $0.34Q3 2024: $-0.22Q4 2024: $-0.16Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-1.35Q3 2025: $-0.89Forward: $0.32
Q2 2024: $0.34Q3 2024: $-0.22Q4 2024: $-0.16Q1 2025: $-0.75Q2 2025: $-1.35Q3 2025: $-0.89Forward: $0.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.32โ€”
Q3 2025-$0.89-$0.67
Q2 2025-$1.35-497%
Q1 2023-$0.51-124%
Q4 2022$0.14-94%
Q3 2022$0.62-76%
Q2 2022$1.41-44%
Q1 2022$2.14-7.8%
Q4 2021$2.39+103%

PSEC lost $0.89 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus down 104% for PSEC.

PSEC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q1 2022$203.3M-32%
Q4 2021$293.9M-17%
Q3 2021$253.7M+19%
Q2 2021$284.3M+37%
Q4 2020$353.2M+753%

PSEC's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: โˆ’$11M last quarter, down 104% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PSEC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $79MQ1 2024: โˆ’$22MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $174MQ4 2024: $279MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$8MQ3 2025: $279MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $196MQ2 2026: โˆ’$44MQ3 2026: $382M
Q4 2023: $79MQ1 2024: โˆ’$22MQ2 2024: $128MQ3 2024: $174MQ4 2024: $279MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: โˆ’$8MQ3 2025: $279MQ4 2025: $86MQ1 2026: $196MQ2 2026: โˆ’$44MQ3 2026: $382M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$381.7M+37%
Q2 2026-$43.9M-$36.3M
Q1 2026$195.7M+149%
Q4 2025$85.6M-69%
Q3 2025$279M+61%
Q2 2025-$7.6M-106%
Q1 2025$78.6M+$100.8M
Q4 2024$278.5M+251%

PSEC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over PSEC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PSEC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 411MQ1 2024: 678MQ3 2024: 429MQ4 2024: 437MQ1 2025: 443MQ2 2025: 440MQ3 2025: 877MQ1 2026: 930MQ3 2026: 524M
Q4 2023: 411MQ1 2024: 678MQ3 2024: 429MQ4 2024: 437MQ1 2025: 443MQ2 2025: 440MQ3 2025: 877MQ1 2026: 930MQ3 2026: 524M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-44%-405M shares
1 year+18%+81M shares
3 years-4.2%-22.9M shares
5 years+37%+143M shares
Available history+43%+157M shares

PSEC has 524M diluted shares, up 18% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PSEC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20224.7xHigh
Q1 20222.9xModerate
Q4 20212.4xModerate
Q3 20212.0xModerate
Q2 20212.3xModerate
Q1 20212.3xModerate
Q4 20204.6xHigh
Q3 202016.0xHigh

PSEC's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PSEC.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PSEC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.3Oversold
Stochastic13.6Oversold

PSEC's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PSEC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPSECSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

PSEC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over PSEC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PSEC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.6816% below
20 week MA$2.0130% below
50 week MA$2.3640% below
100 week MA$2.9152% below
200 week MA$4.4068% below

PSEC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 68% below its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over PSEC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PSEC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.51$5.46-16%
2021$5.46$8.43+54%
2022$8.43$7.16-15%
2023$7.16$5.99-16%
2024$5.99$4.26-29%
2025$4.26$2.51-41%
2026 YTD$2.51$1.41-44%

PSEC has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 44% so far in 2026.

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