MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over PNNT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

PNNT

PennantPark Investment Corporation

40
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation26/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

PNNT trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

PNNT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PNNT's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PNNT.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over PNNT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PNNT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.3x13x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3x$0.49-85%
Forward5.6x$3.25—
Fair7.5x$1.19-63%
Expensive20x$3.23-0.5%
Current21x$3.25—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PNNT's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 5.6x, in its fair range.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over PNNT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PNNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect PNNT's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PNNT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PNNT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$4.02
Downside-19%$2.63

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

PNNT trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 29% for MS versus PNNT down 91%.

PNNT Earnings Per Share

Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.58
Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.58+260%
Q2 2023-$1.23-337%
Q1 2023-$1.83-243%
Q4 2022-$1.85-203%
Q3 2022-$0.37-115%
Q2 2022$0.52-77%
Q1 2022$1.28-36%
Q4 2021$1.80+240%
Q3 2021$2.48+$2.72

PNNT has returned to profit: it earned $0.16 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus down 185% for PNNT.

PNNT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q1 2022$12M-73%
Q4 2021$40.3M-48%
Q3 2021$31.8M+66%
Q2 2021$39.9M+70%
Q4 2020$77.4M+162%
Q3 2020$19.2M-13%

PNNT's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: −$27M last quarter, down 185% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PNNT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $109MQ4 2023: −$155MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $142MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: −$108MQ4 2025: $135MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $50M
Q3 2023: $109MQ4 2023: −$155MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $142MQ2 2025: $51MQ3 2025: −$108MQ4 2025: $135MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: $50M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$50.1M-2.7%
Q1 2026$36.4M-74%
Q4 2025$134.5M+618%
Q3 2025-$107.8M-$103.1M
Q2 2025$51.5M+$68.3M
Q1 2025$142.4M+3247%
Q4 2024$18.7M+$173.9M
Q3 2024-$4.7M-104%

PNNT has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over PNNT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PNNT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 65MQ4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65M
Q3 2023: 65MQ4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 65MQ2 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 65MQ2 2025: 65MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 65MQ1 2026: 65MQ2 2026: 65M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+0.1%+71.6K shares
5 years-2.6%-1.7M shares
Available history-2.6%-1.7M shares

PNNT has 65M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PNNT Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202214.2xHigh
Q1 20225.7xHigh
Q4 20216.1xHigh
Q3 20213.5xElevated
Q2 20213.2xElevated
Q1 20211.6xHealthy
Q4 20202.4xModerate
Q3 20203.2xElevated

PNNT's net debt is about 14 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.2 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PNNT.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PNNT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.3Neutral
Stochastic37.8Neutral

PNNT's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 38 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over PNNT on valuation relative to its sector.

PNNT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPNNTSector medianRelative
PE21x13x61% above
PE %846321 pts above

PNNT is trading at 21x earnings, a 61% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over PNNT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PNNT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.162.8% above
20 week MA$3.383.8% below
50 week MA$4.2824% below
100 week MA$5.5642% below
200 week MA$6.0546% below

PNNT has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 46% below its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over PNNT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PNNT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.60$4.52-32%
2021$4.52$6.88+52%
2022$6.88$5.65-18%
2023$5.65$6.91+22%
2024$6.91$6.99+1.2%
2025$6.99$5.93-15%
2026 YTD$5.93$3.25-45%

PNNT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 45% so far in 2026.

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