MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has a slight edge over PLBC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

PLBC

Plumas Bancorp

59
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

PLBC offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

PLBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

PLBC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PLBC.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

PLBC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.3x6.5x9.8x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.3x6.5x9.8x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.3x$43.48-31%
Fair8.9x$53.00-16%
Expensive11x$62.85-0.1%
Current11x$62.91—
Forward11x$62.91—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLBC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over PLBC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

PLBC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PLBC, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PLBC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PLBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$78.32
Downside-15%$53.40

Calculated from the latest close: $62.91 on Nov 12.

PLBC trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over PLBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PLBC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.02Q1 2024: $4.79Q2 2024: $4.81Q3 2024: $4.78Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $4.95Q2 2025: $4.86Q3 2025: $4.28Q4 2025: $4.54Q1 2026: $4.72Q2 2026: $5.08Q3 2026: $5.96Forward: $5.89
Q4 2023: $5.02Q1 2024: $4.79Q2 2024: $4.81Q3 2024: $4.78Q4 2024: $4.80Q1 2025: $4.95Q2 2025: $4.86Q3 2025: $4.28Q4 2025: $4.54Q1 2026: $4.72Q2 2026: $5.08Q3 2026: $5.96Forward: $5.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.89-1.1%
Q3 2026$5.96+39%
Q2 2026$5.08+4.5%
Q1 2026$4.72-4.6%
Q4 2025$4.54-5.4%
Q3 2025$4.28-10%
Q2 2025$4.86+1%
Q1 2025$4.95+3.3%
Q4 2024$4.80-4.4%

PLBC earned $5.96 per share over the past year, up 39% from the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLBC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $22MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$29.3M+6.9%
Q2 2026$28.8M+40%
Q1 2026$28.1M+29%
Q4 2025$28.6M+35%
Q3 2025$27.4M+30%
Q2 2025$20.5M-0.3%
Q1 2025$21.8M+11%
Q4 2024$21.2M+5.8%

PLBC's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $29M last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PLBC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $249,000Q1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $249,000Q1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $8MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $2MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $12MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.6M+204%
Q2 2026$11.6M+468%
Q1 2026$9.3M+26%
Q4 2025$6.1M-25%
Q3 2025$4.8M-39%
Q2 2025$2M-58%
Q1 2025$7.3M-18%
Q4 2024$8.2M+3184%

PLBC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over PLBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLBC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 7M
Q4 2023: 6MQ1 2024: 6MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 6MQ4 2024: 6MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 7MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 7M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+10K shares
1 year+0.5%+37K shares
3 years+19%+1.1M shares
5 years+20%+1.2M shares
Available history+35%+1.8M shares

PLBC has 7M diluted shares, up 0.5% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PLBC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.7xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ3 2026: -1.7x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.7xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.6xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.0xQ2 2026: -2.4xQ3 2026: -1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.4xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.7xNet Cash

PLBC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PLBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.4Neutral
Stochastic62.6Neutral

PLBC's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PLBC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPLBCSector medianRelative
PE11x13x19% below
PE %836320 pts above

PLBC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

PLBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$62.40.8% above
20 week MA$61.91.7% above
50 week MA$54.915% above
100 week MA$49.228% above
200 week MA$43.445% above

PLBC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

PLBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.4$23.1-12%
2021$23.1$32.5+40%
2022$32.5$35.4+9%
2023$35.4$41.4+17%
2024$41.4$47.0+14%
2025$47.0$45.3-3.5%
2026 YTD$45.3$62.9+39%

PLBC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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