MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over PJT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

PJT

PJT Partners Inc.

51
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation43/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PJT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

PJT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PJT's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PJT.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over PJT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PJT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x77x103x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x77x103x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$92.56-39%
Forward18x$151—
Fair24x$134-11%
Current27x$151—
Expensive31x$175+15%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PJT's PE is in its fair range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

PJT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PJT, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PJT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PJT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$193.99
Downside-13%$131.37

Calculated from the latest close: $151.29 on Nov 12.

PJT trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over PJT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PJT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.06Q1 2024: $5.61Q2 2024: $5.81Q3 2024: $5.92Q4 2024: $4.90Q1 2025: $5.67Q2 2025: $5.82Q3 2025: $6.50Q4 2025: $4.15Q1 2026: $5.50Q2 2026: $5.95Q3 2026: $5.63Forward: $8.24
Q4 2023: $5.06Q1 2024: $5.61Q2 2024: $5.81Q3 2024: $5.92Q4 2024: $4.90Q1 2025: $5.67Q2 2025: $5.82Q3 2025: $6.50Q4 2025: $4.15Q1 2026: $5.50Q2 2026: $5.95Q3 2026: $5.63Forward: $8.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.24+46%
Q3 2026$5.63-13%
Q2 2026$5.95+2.2%
Q1 2026$5.50-3%
Q4 2025$4.15-15%
Q3 2025$6.50+9.8%
Q2 2025$5.82+0.2%
Q1 2025$5.67+1.1%
Q4 2024$4.90-3.2%

PJT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $5.63 over the past year, against $7.89 in mid-2021.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over PJT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PJT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $329MQ1 2024: $329MQ2 2024: $360MQ3 2024: $326MQ4 2024: $477MQ1 2025: $325MQ2 2025: $407MQ3 2025: $447MQ4 2025: $535MQ1 2026: $418MQ2 2026: $486MQ3 2026: $385M
Q4 2023: $329MQ1 2024: $329MQ2 2024: $360MQ3 2024: $326MQ4 2024: $477MQ1 2025: $325MQ2 2025: $407MQ3 2025: $447MQ4 2025: $535MQ1 2026: $418MQ2 2026: $486MQ3 2026: $385M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$385.1M-14%
Q2 2026$486.3M+20%
Q1 2026$418.2M+29%
Q4 2025$535.2M+12%
Q3 2025$447.1M+37%
Q2 2025$406.9M+13%
Q1 2025$324.5M-1.5%
Q4 2024$477.3M+45%

PJT's revenue is growing: $385M last quarter, down 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PJT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $123MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $193MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: −$78MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $241MQ4 2025: $139MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $226MQ3 2026: $267M
Q4 2023: $123MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $193MQ3 2024: $179MQ4 2024: $195MQ1 2025: −$78MQ2 2025: $179MQ3 2025: $241MQ4 2025: $139MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $226MQ3 2026: $267M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$267M+11%
Q2 2026$226.4M+27%
Q1 2026$56M+$133.9M
Q4 2025$138.6M-29%
Q3 2025$240.9M+35%
Q2 2025$178.9M-7.3%
Q1 2025-$77.9M-$38.7M
Q4 2024$195.3M+58%

PJT has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

PJT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 25M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 43MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 29MQ3 2026: 25M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-12%-3.4M shares
1 year-12%-3.4M shares
3 years-5.3%-1.4M shares
5 years-40%-16.8M shares
Available history-22%-7.3M shares

PJT has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PJT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.6xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 20250.6xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

PJT has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PJT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.9Neutral
Stochastic32.9Neutral

PJT's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over PJT on valuation relative to its sector.

PJT PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPJTSector medianRelative
PE27x13x106% above
PE %62631 pt below

PJT is trading at 27x earnings, a 106% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over PJT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PJT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$144.44.7% above
20 week MA$159.04.9% below
50 week MA$158.24.4% below
100 week MA$160.35.6% below
200 week MA$128.917% above

PJT's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 17% above its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over PJT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PJT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.8$77.7+74%
2021$77.7$75.0-3.6%
2022$75.0$76.1+1.5%
2023$76.1$101.9+34%
2024$101.9$159.6+57%
2025$159.6$172.3+8%
2026 YTD$172.3$151.3-12%

PJT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.

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