MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PGC
Peapack-Gladstone Financial Corporation
PGC has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
PGC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
PGC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PGC.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
PGC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.8x | $29.22 | -36% |
| Forward | 10x | $46.01 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $42.69 | -7.2% |
| Current | 14x | $46.01 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $54.03 | +17% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PGC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
PGC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PGC, with profitability improving.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over PGC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PGC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.50 | +35% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.34 | +72% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.89 | +58% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.48 | +38% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.11 | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.94 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.83 | -2.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.80 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.85 | -32% |
PGC earned $3.34 per share over the past year, up 72% from the year before.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over PGC on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
PGC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $87.5M | +24% |
| Q2 2026 | $86.1M | +23% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.5M | +28% |
| Q4 2025 | $78.2M | +26% |
| Q3 2025 | $70.7M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $69.7M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $64.4M | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $61.8M | +14% |
PGC has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 27% | +8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 26% | +9.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | +7.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 22% | +1.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -7.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | -1.6 points |
PGC's operating margin was 27% last quarter, up 8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
PGC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$6.2M | -118% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6M | +389% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.3M | +$34.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.6M | -116% |
| Q3 2025 | $34M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.9M | +$10.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.5M | -164% |
| Q4 2024 | $22.4M | +6536% |
PGC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over PGC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
PGC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.4% | +444K shares |
| 1 year | +7.8% | +1.4M shares |
| 3 years | +5.9% | +1.1M shares |
| 5 years | -1.1% | -204K shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -342K shares |
PGC has 19M diluted shares, up 7.8% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | $2.6M |
| Q2 2024 | $2.2M |
| Q1 2024 | $2.4M |
| Q4 2023 | $2.1M |
| Q3 2023 | $2.8M |
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
PGC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5x | Moderate |
PGC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
PGC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 55.5 | Neutral |
PGC's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
PGC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | PGC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 13x | 5.8% above |
| PE % | 55 | 63 | 8 pts below |
PGC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
PGC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 2.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $45.6 | 0.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $39.9 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $34.3 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.0 | 48% above |
PGC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.
PGC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $31.0 | $22.6 | -27% |
| 2021 | $22.6 | $35.0 | +55% |
| 2022 | $35.0 | $37.1 | +5.9% |
| 2023 | $37.1 | $29.8 | -20% |
| 2024 | $29.8 | $32.1 | +7.8% |
| 2025 | $32.1 | $28.2 | -12% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.2 | $46.0 | +63% |
PGC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.