MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over PFBC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
PFBC
Preferred Bank
PFBC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
PFBC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
PFBC's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PFBC.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
PFBC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $76.02 | -27% |
| Fair | 9.2x | $101 | -2.4% |
| Forward | 9.2x | $103 | — |
| Current | 9.5x | $103 | — |
| Expensive | 12x | $131 | +26% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PFBC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over PFBC on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.
PFBC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PFBC, with profitability improving.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over PFBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PFBC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $11.25 | +2.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.94 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.73 | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.43 | +8.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.89 | -0.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.51 | -7% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.42 | -9.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.63 | -8.5% |
| Q3 2024 | $9.98 | -6.2% |
PFBC earned $10.94 per share over the past year, up 15% from the year before.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over PFBC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PFBC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $125.7M | +1.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $120.8M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $129.3M | +1.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $130.5M | -1.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $124.2M | -5% |
| Q1 2025 | $118.5M | -8.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $127.3M | +2.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $132.9M | +3.4% |
PFBC's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $126M last quarter, up 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 39% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 37% | +1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 38% | +4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 39% | +3.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 38% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 36% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 33% | -7.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | 35% | -6.2 points |
PFBC has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
PFBC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $26.6M | +4.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $44.3M | 0% |
| Q4 2025 | $86.2M | +116% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.8M | -81% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.5M | -0.8% |
| Q1 2025 | $44.3M | +4.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $39.8M | +$41M |
| Q3 2024 | $55.8M | -5.4% |
PFBC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
PFBC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -243K shares |
| 1 year | -7.6% | -990K shares |
| 3 years | -17% | -2.5M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -2.9M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -3M shares |
PFBC has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $101,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $41.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $16.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $6.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $57.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $13.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5M |
| Q3 2024 | $5.4M |
PFBC spent $64M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 22% from the year before.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
PFBC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
PFBC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
PFBC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.4 | Neutral |
PFBC's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
PFBC PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | PFBC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.5x | 13x | 27% below |
| PE % | 52 | 63 | 11 pts below |
PFBC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
PFBC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $105.2 | 1.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $105.2 | 1.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $98.4 | 5.1% above |
| 100 week MA | $93.0 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $81.5 | 27% above |
PFBC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 27% above its 200-week average.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.
PFBC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.8 | $48.6 | -19% |
| 2021 | $48.6 | $69.7 | +43% |
| 2022 | $69.7 | $75.0 | +7.7% |
| 2023 | $75.0 | $73.1 | -2.7% |
| 2024 | $73.1 | $86.7 | +19% |
| 2025 | $86.7 | $99.0 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $99.0 | $103.5 | +4.5% |
PFBC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.