MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

PEBK

Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score PEBK yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

PEBK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Strong
N/A
N/A

PEBK's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PEBK.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

PEBK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.5x7.0x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$35.15-19%
Fair11x$42.42-2.1%
Current11x$43.35โ€”
Expensive12x$47.33+9.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PEBK has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

PEBK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for PEBK to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and PEBK's risk to reward.

PEBK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $43.35 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and PEBK's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over PEBK on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PEBK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.93Q2 2024: $2.97Q3 2024: $2.95Q4 2024: $2.98Q1 2025: $3.05Q2 2025: $3.11Q3 2025: $3.06Q4 2025: $3.62Q1 2026: $3.63Q2 2026: $3.64Q3 2026: $4.02
Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.93Q2 2024: $2.97Q3 2024: $2.95Q4 2024: $2.98Q1 2025: $3.05Q2 2025: $3.11Q3 2025: $3.06Q4 2025: $3.62Q1 2026: $3.63Q2 2026: $3.64Q3 2026: $4.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$4.02+31%
Q2 2026$3.64+17%
Q1 2026$3.63+19%
Q4 2025$3.62+21%
Q3 2025$3.06+3.7%
Q2 2025$3.11+4.7%
Q1 2025$3.05+4.1%
Q4 2024$2.98+7.6%

PEBK's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.02 over the past year, up 31% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over PEBK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PEBK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $23M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $28MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: $28MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: $31MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $23M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$23.4M-18%
Q2 2026$23.1M-19%
Q1 2026$21.6M-19%
Q4 2025$31.2M+14%
Q3 2025$28.5M+3.5%
Q2 2025$28.4M+3%
Q1 2025$26.5M+2.5%
Q4 2024$27.4M+42%

PEBK's revenue is shrinking: $23M last quarter, down 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PEBK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $5MQ1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.4M+92%
Q2 2026$6M+13%
Q1 2026$4.6M-11%
Q4 2025$5.1M-1.3%
Q3 2025$4.4M-7.7%
Q2 2025$5.4M-18%
Q1 2025$5.2M+46%
Q4 2024$5.1M-3.1%

PEBK has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over PEBK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PEBK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 6MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
Q4 2023: 6MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5MQ3 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-3.8K shares
1 year0%+271 shares
3 years-3%-169K shares

PEBK has 5M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

PEBK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.3x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: -1.7xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -0.5xQ4 2025: -1.5xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

PEBK has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

PEBK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI53.0Neutral
Stochastic41.0Neutral

PEBK's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

PEBK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPEBKSector medianRelative
PE11x13x17% below
PE %57636 pts below

PEBK has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

PEBK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$43.50.3% below
20 week MA$43.50.3% below
50 week MA$40.96% above
100 week MA$35.024% above
200 week MA$30.940% above

PEBK has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 40% above its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

PEBK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.3$25.3-22%
2021$25.3$27.5+8.8%
2022$27.5$32.2+17%
2023$32.2$30.9-3.8%
2024$30.9$31.6+2.2%
2025$31.6$37.0+17%
2026 YTD$37.0$43.4+17%

PEBK has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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