MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over PB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
PB
Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.
PB has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
PB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
PB's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PB.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
PB PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 10x | $72.62 | — |
| Cheap | 12x | $63.63 | -12% |
| Fair | 13x | $70.42 | -3% |
| Current | 13x | $72.62 | — |
| Expensive | 14x | $77.28 | +6.4% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PB has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over PB on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
PB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PB, but weaker profitability.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over PB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
PB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.01 | +28% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.49 | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.76 | +4.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.51 | +5.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.72 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.60 | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.49 | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.24 | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.05 | +12% |
PB earned $5.49 per share over the past year, down 2% from the year before.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over PB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $495.7M | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $391.3M | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $367.6M | +20% |
| Q4 2025 | $317.7M | +3.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $314.7M | +3.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $310.7M | +1.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $306.7M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $307.6M | +12% |
PB's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $496M last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 38% | -18 points |
| Q2 2026 | 55% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 41% | -13 points |
| Q4 2025 | 56% | +2.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 56% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 55% | +8.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 54% | +3.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 54% | +9.6 points |
PB has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
PB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $301.5M | +62% |
| Q2 2026 | $157.9M | +72% |
| Q1 2026 | $178.1M | +4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $68.5M | +$279.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $185.7M | -31% |
| Q2 2025 | $91.8M | -57% |
| Q1 2025 | $171.1M | -5.1% |
| Q4 2024 | -$210.7M | -1004% |
PB has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over PB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
PB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +19% | +19.1M shares |
| 1 year | +26% | +24.8M shares |
| 3 years | +28% | +26.2M shares |
| 5 years | +29% | +27.2M shares |
| Available history | +27% | +25.5M shares |
PB has 120M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago, despite $240M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $31.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $13.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $57.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $137.2M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $39.5M |
| Q1 2024 | $35.3M |
PB spent $240M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
PB Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8x | High |
PB has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
PB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 66.3 | Neutral |
PB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
PB PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | PB | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 13x | 1.6% above |
| PE % | 64 | 63 | 1 pt above |
PB has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
PB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $69.4 | 4.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $71.4 | 1.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $70.6 | 2.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $70.4 | 3.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $67.5 | 7.5% above |
PB has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over PB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
PB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $71.7 | $69.3 | -3.3% |
| 2021 | $69.3 | $71.6 | +3.2% |
| 2022 | $71.6 | $71.4 | -0.2% |
| 2023 | $71.4 | $67.7 | -5.2% |
| 2024 | $67.7 | $75.4 | +11% |
| 2025 | $75.4 | $70.3 | -6.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.3 | $72.6 | +3.3% |
PB has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 3.3% so far in 2026.