MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

OXSQ

Oxford Square Capital Corp.

There isn't enough reported data to score OXSQ yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

OXSQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
N/A
N/A

OXSQ's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OXSQ.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

OXSQ PE Valuation

OXSQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over OXSQ on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

OXSQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect OXSQ's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and OXSQ's risk to reward.

OXSQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $0.80 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and OXSQ's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

OXSQ has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 29% for MS versus OXSQ up 256%.

OXSQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $0.42Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $0.35Q3 2025: $0.32Forward: $0.18
Q4 2024: $0.42Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $0.35Q3 2025: $0.32Forward: $0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.18-44%
Q3 2023-$0.09+$1.16
Q2 2023-$0.42+$0.38
Q1 2023-$1.42-810%
Q4 2022-$1.71-314%
Q3 2022-$1.25-178%
Q2 2022-$0.80-145%
Q1 2022$0.20-90%
Q4 2021$0.80+7900%

OXSQ has returned to profit: it earned $0.32 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

OXSQ has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus up 31% for OXSQ.

OXSQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q1 2023$12.9M+31%
Q4 2022$11.9M+17%
Q2 2022$9.9M+27%
Q1 2022$9.9M+5.4%
Q4 2021$10.2M-76%
Q3 2021$9.8M+19%
Q2 2021$7.8M-67%
Q1 2021$9.4M-14%

OXSQ's revenue is recovering but still below its 2020 peak: $13M last quarter, up 31% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS has the edge over OXSQ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OXSQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: โˆ’$6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: โˆ’$2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$20MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: โˆ’$14MQ2 2026: โˆ’$14MQ3 2026: $116,437
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: โˆ’$6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: โˆ’$2MQ3 2025: โˆ’$20MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: โˆ’$14MQ2 2026: โˆ’$14MQ3 2026: $116,437
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$116.4K+$20.1M
Q2 2026-$14.1M-$12.4M
Q1 2026-$14.4M-340%
Q4 2025$1.9M+$8.1M
Q3 2025-$19.9M-481%
Q2 2025-$1.7M-126%
Q1 2025$6M-70%
Q4 2024-$6.2M-162%

OXSQ's free cash flow was โˆ’$26M over the past year, against โˆ’$22M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OXSQ.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over OXSQ on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OXSQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 70MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 76MQ2 2026: 99MQ3 2026: 111M
Q4 2023: 54MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 63MQ1 2025: 70MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 76MQ2 2026: 99MQ3 2026: 111M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+12%+12M shares
1 year+52%+38M shares
3 years+120%+60.7M shares
5 years+124%+61.7M shares
Available history+126%+62.1M shares

OXSQ has 111M diluted shares, up 52% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

OXSQ Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 202310.5xHigh
Q4 202213.4xHigh
Q3 202215.3xHigh
Q2 20225.5xHigh
Q1 20226.3xHigh
Q4 20216.6xHigh
Q3 20212.8xModerate
Q2 20212.1xModerate

OXSQ's net debt is about 11 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like OXSQ.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

OXSQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI20.2Oversold
Stochastic10.3Oversold

OXSQ's weekly RSI is 20 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

OXSQ PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOXSQSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

OXSQ has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over OXSQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

OXSQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.1329% below
20 week MA$1.3038% below
50 week MA$1.5548% below
100 week MA$1.9359% below
200 week MA$2.4868% below

OXSQ is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 68% below its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over OXSQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

OXSQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.40$3.06-43%
2021$3.06$4.08+33%
2022$4.08$3.00-26%
2023$3.00$2.86-4.7%
2024$2.86$2.46-14%
2025$2.46$1.72-30%
2026 YTD$1.72$0.80-53%

OXSQ has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 53% so far in 2026.

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