MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over OVBC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

OVBC

Ohio Valley Banc Corp.

45
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation22/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

OVBC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

OVBC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

OVBC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like OVBC.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

OVBC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.9x9.8x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.1x$27.26-44%
Fair11x$33.68-31%
Expensive13x$40.30-17%
Current16x$48.73—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OVBC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

OVBC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for OVBC to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OVBC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

OVBC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$56.18
Downside-22%$38.25

Calculated from the latest close: $48.73 on Nov 12.

OVBC trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over OVBC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OVBC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.71Q4 2023: $2.65Q1 2024: $2.41Q2 2024: $2.36Q3 2024: $2.47Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.94Q3 2025: $3.00Q4 2025: $3.31Q1 2026: $3.28Q2 2026: $3.01
Q3 2023: $2.71Q4 2023: $2.65Q1 2024: $2.41Q2 2024: $2.36Q3 2024: $2.47Q4 2024: $2.32Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.94Q3 2025: $3.00Q4 2025: $3.31Q1 2026: $3.28Q2 2026: $3.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.01+2.4%
Q1 2026$3.28+22%
Q4 2025$3.31+43%
Q3 2025$3.00+21%
Q2 2025$2.94+25%
Q1 2025$2.68+11%
Q4 2024$2.32-12%
Q3 2024$2.47-8.9%

OVBC earned $3.01 per share over the past year, up 2.4% from the year before.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over OVBC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

OVBC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $14MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $19M
Q3 2023: $14MQ4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $15MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: $17MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: $19M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$18.6M+6.9%
Q1 2026$18.2M+8.3%
Q4 2025$16.2M-4.6%
Q3 2025$16.3M+5.9%
Q2 2025$17.4M+19%
Q1 2025$16.8M+13%
Q4 2024$17M+14%
Q3 2024$15.4M+11%

OVBC's revenue is growing: $19M last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

OVBC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $234,000Q2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $138,000Q2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $370,000
Q3 2023: $5MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $234,000Q2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $138,000Q2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $370,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$370K-92%
Q1 2026$6.8M+4830%
Q4 2025$7.6M+251%
Q3 2025$5M-8.2%
Q2 2025$4.4M+13%
Q1 2025$138K-41%
Q4 2024$2.2M-63%
Q3 2024$5.4M+0.1%

OVBC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over OVBC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OVBC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 5MQ4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5M
Q3 2023: 5MQ4 2023: 5MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 5MQ3 2024: 5MQ4 2024: 5MQ1 2025: 5MQ2 2025: 5MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 5MQ2 2026: 5M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years-1.4%-65.5K shares
5 years-1.6%-76.4K shares
Available history-1.3%-62.3K shares

OVBC has 5M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

OVBC Net Leverage

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

OVBC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.3Neutral
Stochastic79.6Neutral

OVBC's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over OVBC on valuation relative to its sector.

OVBC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricOVBCSector medianRelative
PE16x13x24% above
PE %976334 pts above

OVBC is trading at 16x earnings, a 24% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

OVBC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$46.64.7% above
20 week MA$45.18% above
50 week MA$44.210% above
100 week MA$38.228% above
200 week MA$31.256% above

OVBC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

OVBC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.9$23.8-42%
2021$23.8$28.3+19%
2022$28.3$26.5-6.4%
2023$26.5$23.0-13%
2024$23.0$24.2+5.1%
2025$24.2$40.3+67%
2026 YTD$40.3$48.7+21%

OVBC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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